Tennis · W15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Emma Mazzoni vs Zoe Ulrich
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Zoe Ulrich; the market gives 88% to Zoe Ulrich (odds 1.06).
Recent form leaves Emma Mazzoni with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Zoe Ulrich has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Mazzoni 1480 · Zoe Ulrich 1505
| Emma Mazzoni | Zoe Ulrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Zoe Ulrich makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Emma Mazzoni | Zoe Ulrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 10.6-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Mazzoni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francisca Laundes W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Aisulu Zholbolat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Miroslava Shitaia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 12/05 | Fangran Tian W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Reshma V S S Challarapu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Zoe Ulrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Alice Soulie W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Carla Grignac W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Nice |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 04/02 | Valentina Steiner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/02 | Lu Mengqiao W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Mazzoni vs Zoe Ulrich?
Our model gives 73% to Zoe Ulrich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.