Tennis · M15 Monastir · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Aziz Ouakaa
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Aziz Ouakaa; the market gives 58% to Aziz Ouakaa (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Alexander Frusina is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Aziz Ouakaa 8-2 over theirs.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1553 · Aziz Ouakaa 1568
| Alexander Frusina | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Frusina makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Frusina | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.9 | 13.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Frusina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Milledge Cossu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Mathis Bondaz ITF M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Marcus Walters M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 05/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 55% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.