Tennis · W15 Monastir · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Esther Adeshina vs Daniela Darta Feldmane
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Esther Adeshina; the market gives 86% to Esther Adeshina (odds 1.10).
Recent form leaves Esther Adeshina with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Daniela Darta Feldmane has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esther Adeshina 1524 · Daniela Darta Feldmane 1437
| Esther Adeshina | Daniela Darta Feldmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esther Adeshina (rating 1524 vs 1437).
- Esther Adeshina is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Esther Adeshina makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Daniela Darta Feldmane makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Esther Adeshina | Daniela Darta Feldmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.3 | 7.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 50.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esther Adeshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Moyuka Uchijima Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carla Tomai W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Malene Helgo W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Aya El Sayed W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Mariam Bolkvadze W35 Nottingham |
1-1 | 2-6 | L |
Daniela Darta Feldmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Carol Plakk W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/05 | Stela Dzimovic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Mia Chudejova W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Ilinca Sagmar W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/01 | Liv Boulard W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/01 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esther Adeshina vs Daniela Darta Feldmane?
Our model gives 75% to Esther Adeshina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.