Tennis · W100 Cary · 02/07, 16:30

Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnson

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Kristina Liutova; the market gives 77% to Kristina Liutova (odds 1.22).

On recent form, Kristina Liutova is 10-0 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sofia Johnson 7-3 over theirs.

69%1
69% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1630 · Sofia Johnson 1555
Kristina LiutovaSofia Johnson
Our model61%39%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1630 vs 1555).
  • Kristina Liutova is in better form: 100% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Kristina Liutova 1–0 Sofia Johnson (1).

Statistics

Kristina LiutovaSofia Johnson
Win %100%70%
Win % · Hard 100% (6) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)2-0.21.4-0.7
Games (G-P)13.1-6.910.8-7.2
Aces0.80.9
Double faults2.32.4
1st serve %66.3%65.6%
Break %66.2%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

H2H · Kristina Liutova 10 Sofia Johnson (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristina Liutova 10 Sofia Johnson

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/04/26
W100 Charlottesville
2-114-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristina Liutova

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Malaika Rapolu
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/06 Reese Brantmeier
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/06 Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/06 Eryn Cayetano
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
04/06 Carolyn Ansari
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/06 Clervie Ngounoue
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/05 Julia Riera
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
09/05 Jazmin Ortenzi
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
08/05 Arantxa Rus
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/05 Barbora Palicova
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Sofia Johnson

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Anna Rogers
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
30/06 Alana Smith
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Claire An
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/06 Emiliana Arango
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
20/06 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
03/06 Eryn Cayetano
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/06 Violeta Martinez
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/06 Sophie Williams
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/05 Kylie Collins
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/05 Ranah Akua Stoiber
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnson?

Our model gives 69% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.