Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnson
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Kristina Liutova; the market gives 77% to Kristina Liutova (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Kristina Liutova is 10-0 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sofia Johnson 7-3 over theirs.
| Kristina Liutova | Sofia Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1630 vs 1555).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kristina Liutova 1–0 Sofia Johnson (1).
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Sofia Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-6.9 | 10.8-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 66.2% | 47.8% |
H2H · Kristina Liutova 1 – 0 Sofia Johnson (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristina Liutova 1–0 Sofia Johnson
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 W100 Charlottesville | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/05 | Julia Riera W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/05 | Arantxa Rus W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Barbora Palicova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Sofia Johnson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Alana Smith W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Claire An W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Emiliana Arango WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Violeta Martinez W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Sophie Williams W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Kylie Collins W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ranah Akua Stoiber W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Sofia Johnson?
Our model gives 69% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

