Prediction: Tatum Evans vs Madison Brengle
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Tatum Evans; the market gives 69% to Madison Brengle (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Tatum Evans sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Madison Brengle arrives on a 7-3 run.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatum Evans 1572 · Madison Brengle 1568
| Tatum Evans | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tatum Evans makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Tatum Evans | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.8 | 11.2-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatum Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ariana Arseneault W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Elvira Juravliova W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Kailey Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Lina Glushko W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatum Evans vs Madison Brengle?
Our model gives 60% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.