Tennis · W100 Cary · 02/07, 16:30

Prediction: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ena Koike

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Ena Koike; the market gives 58% to Mei Yamaguchi (odds 1.61).

On recent form, Mei Yamaguchi is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ena Koike 8-2 over theirs.

53%1
53% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mei Yamaguchi 1532 · Ena Koike 1558
Mei YamaguchiEna Koike
Our model46%54%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Mei YamaguchiEna Koike
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.3-9.511.2-9.5
Aces12.2
Double faults2.44.4
1st serve %57.8%64.3%
Break %45%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mei Yamaguchi

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/06 Zongyu Li
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/06 Junhan Zhang
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
09/06 Eunhye Lee
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
04/06 Yidi Yang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/06 Erika Sema
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
22/05 Momoko Kobori
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/05 Sofya Lansere
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/05 Katie Swan
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
0-2 2-12 L
15/05 Lizette Cabrera
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
2-0 12-6 W

Ena Koike

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Ayana Akli
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W
30/06 Victoria Mulville
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
29/06 Sara Shumate
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W
26/06 Ayana Akli
W35 Rome
0-2 6-11 L
25/06 Capucine Jauffret
W35 Rome
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Kylie Collins
W35 Rome
2-1 12-12 W
10/06 Ana Grubor
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
1-1 7-8 L
03/06 Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
02/06 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
01/06 Piper Charney
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mei Yamaguchi vs Ena Koike?

Our model gives 53% to Mei Yamaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.