Prediction: Alaa Trifi vs Toufik Sahtali
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Toufik Sahtali; the market gives 61% to Toufik Sahtali (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Alaa Trifi is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Toufik Sahtali 7-3 over theirs.
| Alaa Trifi | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toufik Sahtali (rating 1507 vs 1595).
- Head-to-head: Alaa Trifi 0–1 Toufik Sahtali (1).
- Note: Alaa Trifi makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alaa Trifi | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.2 | 12.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 45% | 54.7% |
H2H · Alaa Trifi 0 – 1 Toufik Sahtali (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alaa Trifi 0–1 Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alaa Trifi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Jackson Ross M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Maxime Chazal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/05 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Samuele Seghetti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Gilberto Ravasio M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Marcello Serafini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/04 | Alan Wazny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 08/04 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Daniel Domingos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Ntungamili Raguin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abraham Asaba Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Kael Shalin Shah Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Clement Lemire M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Diogo Marques M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alaa Trifi vs Toufik Sahtali?
Our model gives 62% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.