Tennis · W15 Monastir · 02/07, 13:30
Prediction: Margaux Komano vs Benedetta Ortenzi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Margaux Komano; the market gives 50% to Margaux Komano (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Margaux Komano is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Benedetta Ortenzi 3-7 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Margaux Komano 1472 · Benedetta Ortenzi 1462
| Margaux Komano | Benedetta Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Margaux Komano | Benedetta Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11 | 8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51% | 51.1% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Margaux Komano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Alba Rey Garcia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Esther Adeshina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Valentina Losciale W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Benedetta Ortenzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Odeta Panasa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Carlota Corte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/03 | Noemi La Cagnina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/02 | Yujin Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/12 | Ariana Arseneault W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Margaux Komano vs Benedetta Ortenzi?
Our model gives 51% to Margaux Komano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.