Tennis · W15 Monastir · 02/07, 13:30
Prediction: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Maria Andrienko
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Sofia Camila Rojas; the market gives 66% to Sofia Camila Rojas (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Sofia Camila Rojas with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Maria Andrienko has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Camila Rojas 1562 · Maria Andrienko 1517
| Sofia Camila Rojas | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1562 vs 1517).
- Note: Sofia Camila Rojas makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Camila Rojas | Maria Andrienko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-12.8 | 11.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 55.4% |
| Break % | 61.9% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/01 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/01 | Hayden Mulberry UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/01 | Jo Yee Chan UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/01 | Olivia Cutone UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/01 | Kaitlyn Carnicella UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/11 | Tori Kinard ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Ava Rodriguez ITF W100 Macon · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Carson Tanguilig ITF W100 Macon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Maria Andrienko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Anna Frey ITF W15 Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Veronika Podrez ITF W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Camila Rojas vs Maria Andrienko?
Our model gives 62% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.