Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 02/07, 10:30

Prediction: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ioannis Xilas

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 73% to Kilian Feldbausch; the market gives 79% to Kilian Feldbausch (odds 1.17).

On recent form, Kilian Feldbausch is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ioannis Xilas 4-6 over theirs.

76%1
76% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kilian Feldbausch 1607 · Ioannis Xilas 1436
Kilian FeldbauschIoannis Xilas
Our model73%27%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilian Feldbausch (rating 1607 vs 1436).
  • Kilian Feldbausch is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Kilian FeldbauschIoannis Xilas
Win %90%20%
Win % · Clay 90% (10) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.50.8-1.6
Games (G-P)12.7-8.110.1-12.7
Aces0.50.5
Double faults2.82.5
1st serve %65.3%59.4%
Break %70.5%42.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kilian Feldbausch

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/06 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/06 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
15/06 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
31/05 Martin Krumich
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
30/05 Dali Blanch
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
29/05 Hynek Barton
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
28/05 Federico Bondioli
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-1 18-10 W
26/05 Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Ioannis Xilas

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
08/06 Liam Broady
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
31/05 Manuel Mazza
Challenger Perugia · Clay
1-2 13-12 L
25/05 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
19/05 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Cervia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Manuel Mazza
M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/04 Michael Geerts
Challenger Abidjan · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
16/04 Matthew William Donald
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
15/04 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/04 Henry Searle
M25 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 17-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kilian Feldbausch vs Ioannis Xilas?

Our model gives 76% to Kilian Feldbausch, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.