Tennis · M25 Skopje · 02/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sasa Markovic vs Liam Delicata
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Liam Delicata; the market gives 54% to Liam Delicata (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Sasa Markovic is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Liam Delicata 7-3 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sasa Markovic 1454 · Liam Delicata 1572
| Sasa Markovic | Liam Delicata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Delicata (rating 1454 vs 1572).
- Liam Delicata is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sasa Markovic | Liam Delicata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.2 | 10.7-6.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sasa Markovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Dimitar Hristov Berdankov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Matteo Mesaglio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/02 | Felix Corwin Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/02 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/10 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Leandro Zgraggen UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Hugo Maia UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Freddy Murray UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Liam Delicata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Neil Saxer M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Samvel Aghayan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Vladimir Ristic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Umberto Vanucci Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Pablo Carrascosa Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mario Zili Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Ilias Zimmermann M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Johan Nikles M25 Vic |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M25 Vic |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Tiago Torres M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sasa Markovic vs Liam Delicata?
Our model gives 59% to Liam Delicata, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.