Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 23/10, 20:30
Prediction: Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Prediction summary
Estimated points
63Total
Valur32.5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar30.5
1X2
Valur
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Recent form · 10 last
Valur
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valur
4–2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
(6 last)
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar28-34Valur
- Valur34-26IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar34-28Valur
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar31-43Valur
- Valur33-30IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar38-34Valur
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valur 1574 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1490
| Valur | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 69% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
63 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points63Valur 32.5 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valur (rating 1574 vs 1490).
- Valur is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Valur: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valur | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 33.6 / 32.5 | 29.3 / 30.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 37.2 / 35.2 | 31.8 / 30.8 |
| Est. result | 33 | 31 |
Est. total63
Line O/U66.5
Diff.3.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur 4–0–2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 28-34 | Valur |
| 22/11/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild | Valur | 34-26 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 30/11/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 34-28 | Valur |
| 09/03/24 Iceland Cup | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 31-43 | Valur |
| 29/02/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild | Valur | 33-30 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 22/10/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 38-34 | Valur |
Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar Hafnafjordur | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 198 | 14 |
| 2 | UMF Afturelding | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 178 | 9 |
| 3 | FH Hafnafjordur | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 192 | 9 |
| 4 | Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 180 | 8 |
| 5 | Valur | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 226 | 211 | 8 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 188 | 192 | 6 |
| 7 | Thor AK | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 239 | 245 | 6 |
| 8 | UMF Stjarnan | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 231 | 243 | 5 |
| 9 | Vikingur | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 217 | 239 | 4 |
| 10 | HK Kopavogs | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 184 | 206 | 4 |
| 11 | Fram Reykjavik | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 219 | 261 | 4 |
| 12 | UMF Selfoss | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 206 | 241 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valur | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|
| Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar | 33-39 L | 25-31 L |
| HK Kopavogs | 38-29 W | 34-35 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 40-47 L | 33-30 W |
| UMF Selfoss | 34-30 W | 30-27 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Valur (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
41-31 | W |
| 25/09 | Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
33-39 | L |
| 16/09 | HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
38-29 | W |
| 11/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
40-47 | L |
| 03/09 | UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
34-30 | W |
| 07/05 | FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
27-26 | W |
| 04/05 | FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
29-29 | D |
| 30/04 | FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
32-30 | W |
| 27/04 | FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
25-31 | L |
| 24/04 | FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
37-33 | W |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
37-31 | W |
| 01/10 | Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
25-31 | L |
| 24/09 | HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
34-35 | L |
| 17/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
33-30 | W |
| 10/09 | UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
30-27 | W |
| 06/09 | Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
29-38 | L |
| 29/03 | Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
24-25 | L |
| 25/03 | Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
26-26 | D |
| 12/03 | Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
28-34 | L |
| 09/03 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild |
27-26 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
Our model gives 74% to Valur.
How many points are expected in Valur vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
The model estimates 63 total points (Valur 32.5 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30.5).