Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs UMF Stjarnan

Team pages: IBV Vestmannaeyjar · UMF Stjarnan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.9Total

IBV Vestmannaeyjar31.6

UMF Stjarnan30.3

1X2

64% 36%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar UMF Stjarnan

Recent form · 10 last

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLLWLW

UMF Stjarnan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLWLL

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4–2 UMF Stjarnan (6 last)

UMF Stjarnan22-29IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar37-27UMF Stjarnan
UMF Stjarnan34-29IBV Vestmannaeyjar
UMF Stjarnan33-26IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar33-31UMF Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar39-26UMF Stjarnan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1514 · UMF Stjarnan 1438

	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	UMF Stjarnan
Our model	70%	30%
Market	54%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 61.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.9IBV Vestmannaeyjar 31.6 · UMF Stjarnan 30.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar (rating 1514 vs 1438).
H2H favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	UMF Stjarnan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.6 / 30.8	31.5 / 33.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 32.4	33.8 / 34.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X8.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 62.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:53 +22’	1.65	8.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4–0–2 UMF Stjarnan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/12/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Stjarnan	22-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
12/09/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	37-27	UMF Stjarnan
26/02/25 Iceland Cup	UMF Stjarnan	34-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06/12/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Stjarnan	33-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
13/09/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	33-31	UMF Stjarnan
08/12/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	39-26	UMF Stjarnan

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
4	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
5	FH Hafnafjordur	8	5	1	2	283	260	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	4	0	4	246	257	8
7	Fram Reykjavik	8	3	0	5	254	290	6
8	Thor AK	8	3	0	5	273	283	6
9	UMF Stjarnan	8	2	1	5	265	280	5
10	Vikingur	8	2	0	6	246	269	4
11	HK Kopavogs	8	2	0	6	235	276	4
12	UMF Selfoss	8	0	1	7	235	276	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	UMF Stjarnan
Valur	28-36 L	34-37 L
Thor AK	37-31 W	32-37 L
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	25-31 L	35-33 W
HK Kopavogs	34-35 L	31-35 L
Fram Reykjavik	33-30 W	37-29 W
UMF Selfoss	30-27 W	34-34 D
Haukar Hafnafjordur	29-38 L	31-37 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: UMF Stjarnan (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

DLLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-29	W
23/10	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-36	L
16/10	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-31	W
01/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	25-31	L
24/09	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-35	L
17/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-30	W
10/09	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-27	W
06/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-38	L
29/03	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	24-25	L
25/03	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-26	D

UMF Stjarnan

LLLLDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-37	L
21/10	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	32-37	L
16/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-33	W
04/10	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-35	L
24/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-29	W
16/09	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-34	D
11/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-37	L
04/09	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-38	L
12/03	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	24-26	L
09/03	IR Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs UMF Stjarnan?

Our model gives 64% to IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

How many points are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs UMF Stjarnan?

The model estimates 61.9 total points (IBV Vestmannaeyjar 31.6 · UMF Stjarnan 30.3).