Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 01/11, 19:00

Prediction: HK Kopavogs vs UMF Selfoss

Team pages: HK Kopavogs · UMF Selfoss

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.4Total

HK Kopavogs32

UMF Selfoss31.4

1X2

68% 32%

HK Kopavogs UMF Selfoss

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogs 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWWLLL

UMF Selfoss 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogs 3–3 UMF Selfoss (6 last)

HK Kopavogs38-31UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss29-32HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs27-23UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss26-22HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs20-24UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss33-23HK Kopavogs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogs 1443 · UMF Selfoss 1383

	HK Kopavogs	UMF Selfoss
Our model	68%	32%
Market	62%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 63.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.4HK Kopavogs 32 · UMF Selfoss 31.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Kopavogs (rating 1443 vs 1383).
HK Kopavogs is a clear favourite (68% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Kopavogs	UMF Selfoss
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.4 / 33.9	29 / 33.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 33	28.8 / 35.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total63.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 63.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +3’	1.45	9.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogs 3–0–3 UMF Selfoss

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/03/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	38-31	UMF Selfoss
06/11/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	29-32	HK Kopavogs
06/10/25 Iceland Cup	HK Kopavogs	27-23	UMF Selfoss
01/03/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	26-22	HK Kopavogs
21/10/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	20-24	UMF Selfoss
23/03/22 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	33-23	HK Kopavogs

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
4	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
5	FH Hafnafjordur	8	5	1	2	283	260	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	4	0	4	246	257	8
7	Fram Reykjavik	8	3	0	5	254	290	6
8	Thor AK	8	3	0	5	273	283	6
9	UMF Stjarnan	8	2	1	5	265	280	5
10	Vikingur	8	2	0	6	246	269	4
11	HK Kopavogs	8	2	0	6	235	276	4
12	UMF Selfoss	8	0	1	7	235	276	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogs	UMF Selfoss
Haukar Hafnafjordur	22-37 L	22-31 L
FH Hafnafjordur	29-33 L	31-36 L
UMF Afturelding	26-30 L	34-42 L
UMF Stjarnan	35-31 W	34-34 D
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	35-34 W	27-30 L
Valur	29-38 L	30-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogs (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogs

DLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	22-37	L
23/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-33	L
15/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-30	L
04/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-31	W
24/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-34	W
16/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-38	L
10/09	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
03/09	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-37	L
29/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-32	L
25/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-31	D

UMF Selfoss

LDLLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-35	L
21/10	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-34	L
15/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	22-31	L
03/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
24/09	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-42	L
16/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-34	D
10/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-30	L
03/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-34	L
12/03	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-27	D
09/03	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogs vs UMF Selfoss?

Our model gives 68% to HK Kopavogs.

How many points are expected in HK Kopavogs vs UMF Selfoss?

The model estimates 63.4 total points (HK Kopavogs 32 · UMF Selfoss 31.4).