Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Thor AK vs FH Hafnafjordur

Team pages: Thor AK · FH Hafnafjordur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.6Total

Thor AK32.2

FH Hafnafjordur33.4

1X2

38% 62%

Thor AK FH Hafnafjordur

Recent form · 10 last

Thor AK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLWL

FH Hafnafjordur 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Thor AK 0–1–4 FH Hafnafjordur (5 last)

Thor AK21-26FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur34-34Thor AK
Thor AK22-33FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur30-21Thor AK
Thor AK19-24FH Hafnafjordur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thor AK 1497 · FH Hafnafjordur 1516

	Thor AK	FH Hafnafjordur
Our model	57%	43%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 65.6 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.6Thor AK 32.2 · FH Hafnafjordur 33.4

Match keys

H2H favours FH Hafnafjordur: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Thor AK	FH Hafnafjordur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.3 / 33.2	33.8 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 34.8	34.4 / 32.4
Est. result	32	33

Est. total65.6

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 65.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +15’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thor AK 0–1–4 FH Hafnafjordur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Thor AK	21-26	FH Hafnafjordur
09/10/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	34-34	Thor AK
02/03/22 Iceland Cup	Thor AK	22-33	FH Hafnafjordur
05/03/21 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	30-21	Thor AK
17/09/20 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Thor AK	19-24	FH Hafnafjordur

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
4	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
5	FH Hafnafjordur	8	5	1	2	283	260	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	8	4	0	4	246	257	8
7	Fram Reykjavik	8	3	0	5	254	290	6
8	Thor AK	8	3	0	5	273	283	6
9	UMF Stjarnan	8	2	1	5	265	280	5
10	Vikingur	8	2	0	6	246	269	4
11	HK Kopavogs	8	2	0	6	235	276	4
12	UMF Selfoss	8	0	1	7	235	276	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Thor AK	FH Hafnafjordur
UMF Afturelding	34-38 L	33-33 D
UMF Stjarnan	37-32 W	38-31 W
Vikingur	31-36 L	40-34 W
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	35-31 W	33-39 L
HK Kopavogs	36-31 W	33-29 W
Fram Reykjavik	34-38 L	36-28 W
Haukar Hafnafjordur	28-34 L	34-35 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FH Hafnafjordur (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thor AK

LWDLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-38	L
21/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-32	W
16/10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-37	L
25/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
16/09	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-31	W
10/09	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-31	W
05/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-38	L
12/03	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-31	D
09/03	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-24	W
04/03	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-34	L

FH Hafnafjordur

DLWDWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-39	L
23/10	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-29	W
17/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-28	W
03/10	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-31	W
24/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-35	L
16/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	40-34	W
10/09	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-33	D
04/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-31	W
07/05	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-27	L
04/05	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thor AK vs FH Hafnafjordur?

Our model gives 62% to FH Hafnafjordur.

How many points are expected in Thor AK vs FH Hafnafjordur?

The model estimates 65.6 total points (Thor AK 32.2 · FH Hafnafjordur 33.4).