Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 23/10, 21:30

Prediction: HK Kopavogs vs FH Hafnafjordur

Team pages: FH Hafnafjordur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.4Total

HK Kopavogs30.8

FH Hafnafjordur33.5

1X2

30% 70%

HK Kopavogs FH Hafnafjordur

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogs 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWWL

FH Hafnafjordur 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWLWW

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogs 2–4 FH Hafnafjordur (6 last)

HK Kopavogs29-32FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur33-34HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs21-25FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur32-21HK Kopavogs
FH Hafnafjordur30-21HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs36-32FH Hafnafjordur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogs 1438 · FH Hafnafjordur 1511

	HK Kopavogs	FH Hafnafjordur
Our model	50%	50%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 64.4 points · Bet365 line 64.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.4HK Kopavogs 30.8 · FH Hafnafjordur 33.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnafjordur (rating 1438 vs 1511).
FH Hafnafjordur is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours FH Hafnafjordur: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Kopavogs	FH Hafnafjordur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 32.5	33.3 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 33.8	35.8 / 32.2
Est. result	31	34

Est. total64.4

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.80

Under 64.51.90

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 62.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +2’	6.00	12.00	1.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogs 2–0–4 FH Hafnafjordur

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	29-32	FH Hafnafjordur
02/10/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	33-34	HK Kopavogs
07/04/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	21-25	FH Hafnafjordur
04/04/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	32-21	HK Kopavogs
05/12/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	30-21	HK Kopavogs
12/09/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	36-32	FH Hafnafjordur

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	7	7	0	0	250	198	14
2	UMF Afturelding	6	4	1	1	212	178	9
3	FH Hafnafjordur	6	4	1	1	217	192	9
4	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	6	4	0	2	197	180	8
5	Valur	6	4	0	2	226	211	8
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	3	0	3	188	192	6
7	Thor AK	7	3	0	4	239	245	6
8	UMF Stjarnan	7	2	1	4	231	243	5
9	Vikingur	7	2	0	5	217	239	4
10	HK Kopavogs	6	2	0	4	184	206	4
11	Fram Reykjavik	7	2	0	5	219	261	4
12	UMF Selfoss	7	0	1	6	206	241	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogs	FH Hafnafjordur
UMF Afturelding	26-30 L	33-33 D
UMF Stjarnan	35-31 W	38-31 W
Valur	29-38 L	26-27 L
Haukar Hafnafjordur	26-23 W	34-35 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FH Hafnafjordur (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogs

LWDLLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-30	L
04/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-31	W
24/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-34	W
16/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-38	L
10/09	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
03/09	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-37	L
29/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-32	L
25/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-31	D
12/03	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-23	W
09/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-33	L

FH Hafnafjordur

WLDLWDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-28	W
03/10	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-31	W
24/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-35	L
16/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	40-34	W
10/09	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-33	D
04/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-31	W
07/05	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-27	L
04/05	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-29	D
30/04	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-32	L
27/04	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogs vs FH Hafnafjordur?

Our model gives 70% to FH Hafnafjordur.

How many points are expected in HK Kopavogs vs FH Hafnafjordur?

The model estimates 64.4 total points (HK Kopavogs 30.8 · FH Hafnafjordur 33.5).