Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 30/08, 16:30

Prediction: TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Rhein Neckar Lowen

Team pages: TSV Hannover Burgdorf

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.8Total

TSV Hannover Burgdorf29.9

Rhein Neckar Lowen31

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

53% 47%

TSV Hannover Burgdorf Rhein Neckar Lowen

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 58.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLWDLD

Rhein Neckar Lowen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWLWL

Head-to-head

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4–2 Rhein Neckar Lowen (6 last)

Rhein Neckar Lowen29-28TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf28-24Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen35-36TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf35-30Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen27-29TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf24-32Rhein Neckar Lowen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 1490 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 1524

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Our model	55%	45%
Market	45%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 60.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.8TSV Hannover Burgdorf 29.9 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 31

Over / Under 58.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~61.6 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours TSV Hannover Burgdorf: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 31.5	30.8 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 30.8	29.6 / 27.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.2.3

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.10

X7.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.10

2 (+0.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 61.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.72 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	8.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50
2	2.80 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +4’	1.72	8.00	2.80
16:37 +10’	1.88▲	7.50▼	2.50▼
14:19 +28’	2.10▲	7.50	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4–0–2 Rhein Neckar Lowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	29-28	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
21/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	28-24	Rhein Neckar Lowen
20/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	35-36	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
06/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	35-30	Rhein Neckar Lowen
04/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	27-29	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
27/02/24 European League	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	24-32	Rhein Neckar Lowen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	Bergischer HC	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HC Erlangen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HSV Hamburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HSG Wetzlar	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Rhein Neckar Lowen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SC Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	ThSV Eisenach	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Vfl Gummersbach	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Rhein Neckar Lowen
MT Melsungen	32-32 D	30-22 W
ThSV Eisenach	35-26 W	29-29 D
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	32-35 L	33-36 L
Vfl Gummersbach	27-33 L	27-28 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rhein Neckar Lowen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Hannover Burgdorf

LLLWDLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
03/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
21/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
08/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	36-33	W
02/05	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	29-30	L
26/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
10/04	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	35-26	W
04/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	32-35	L
28/03	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	27-33	L
13/03	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	35-37	L

Rhein Neckar Lowen

DWLLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	27-28	L
03/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
24/05	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-33	L
07/05	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-26	W
01/05	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	30-22	W
23/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	30-32	L
11/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	33-36	L
05/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	27-29	L
28/03	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	41-27	W
13/03	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (TSV Hannover Burgdorf 53% · Rhein Neckar Lowen 47%).

How many points are expected in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

The model estimates 60.8 total points (TSV Hannover Burgdorf 29.9 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 31).

Over or under 58.5 points?

Recent history points to over 58.5 points (65%).