Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Vfl Gummersbach vs SC Magdeburg

Team pages: SC Magdeburg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61Total

Vfl Gummersbach30.7

SC Magdeburg30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

35% 65%

Vfl Gummersbach SC Magdeburg

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Vfl Gummersbach 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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SC Magdeburg 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vfl Gummersbach 0–6 SC Magdeburg (6 last)

SC Magdeburg38-35Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach31-32SC Magdeburg
Vfl Gummersbach31-32SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg37-28Vfl Gummersbach
SC Magdeburg32-30Vfl Gummersbach
SC Magdeburg36-35Vfl Gummersbach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vfl Gummersbach 1538 · SC Magdeburg 1626

	Vfl Gummersbach	SC Magdeburg
Our model	47%	53%
Market	23%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 61 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61Vfl Gummersbach 30.7 · SC Magdeburg 30.3

Match keys

H2H favours SC Magdeburg: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vfl Gummersbach	SC Magdeburg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.7 / 27.8	32.8 / 29.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 27.6	34.8 / 30.6
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.00

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 60.7

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:43 +4’	4.00	9.00	1.42
17:49 +4’	4.75▲	10.00▲	1.32▼
18:50 +1’	4.00▼	9.00▼	1.42▲
18:53 +57’	4.75▲	10.00▲	1.32▼
22:28 +20’	5.50▲	11.00▲	1.27▼
14:41 +5’	4.00▼	9.00▼	1.42▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vfl Gummersbach 0–0–6 SC Magdeburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	38-35	Vfl Gummersbach
14/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	31-32	SC Magdeburg
15/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	31-32	SC Magdeburg
11/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	37-28	Vfl Gummersbach
21/08/24 Club Friendlies	SC Magdeburg	32-30	Vfl Gummersbach
16/08/24 Club Friendlies	SC Magdeburg	36-35	Vfl Gummersbach

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	Bergischer HC	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HC Erlangen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HSV Hamburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HSG Wetzlar	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Rhein Neckar Lowen	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SC Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	ThSV Eisenach	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Vfl Gummersbach	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vfl Gummersbach	SC Magdeburg
Rhein Neckar Lowen	28-27 W	33-30 W
HC Erlangen	26-22 W	35-31 W
Frisch Auf Goppingen	29-29 D	27-23 W
Fuchse Berlin	26-28 L	35-33 W
HSG Wetzlar	32-24 W	31-30 W
Bergischer HC	39-30 W	27-25 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SC Magdeburg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vfl Gummersbach

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
03/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	35-38	L
23/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-22	W
10/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	26-22	W
30/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
23/04	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	26-28	L
16/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	37-31	W
11/04	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	32-24	W
02/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	39-30	W
28/03	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W

SC Magdeburg

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	38-35	W
24/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-30	W
21/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
10/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	41-28	W
26/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-26	W
12/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	35-31	W
05/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	27-23	W
28/03	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	35-33	W
15/03	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	27-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vfl Gummersbach vs SC Magdeburg?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Vfl Gummersbach 35% · SC Magdeburg 65%).

How many points are expected in Vfl Gummersbach vs SC Magdeburg?

The model estimates 61 total points (Vfl Gummersbach 30.7 · SC Magdeburg 30.3).