Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs Bergischer HC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.6Total

TVB 1898 Stuttgart29.9

Bergischer HC28.6

1X2

79% 21%

TVB 1898 Stuttgart Bergischer HC

Recent form · 10 last

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLLWWW

Bergischer HC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWDLWW

Head-to-head

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 4–1–1 Bergischer HC (6 last)

Bergischer HC25-25TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart35-28Bergischer HC
TVB 1898 Stuttgart27-26Bergischer HC
Bergischer HC33-28TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Bergischer HC25-26TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart27-26Bergischer HC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 1524 · Bergischer HC 1478

	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	Bergischer HC
Our model	66%	34%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 58.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.6TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29.9 · Bergischer HC 28.6

Match keys

TVB 1898 Stuttgart is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours TVB 1898 Stuttgart: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	Bergischer HC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.7 / 29.2	28.6 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 29	28.4 / 28.6
Est. result	30	29

Est. total58.6

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X12.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.78

2 (+4.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 2.2 · Est. total: 58.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +36’	1.18	12.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 4–1–1 Bergischer HC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	25-25	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
06/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	35-28	Bergischer HC
28/03/24 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	27-26	Bergischer HC
10/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	33-28	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
26/02/23 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	25-26	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
02/10/22 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	27-26	Bergischer HC

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bergischer HC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Frisch Auf Goppingen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fuchse Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HC Erlangen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSV Hamburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	HSG Wetzlar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MT Melsungen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rhein Neckar Lowen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG BBM Bietigheim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TBV Lemgo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ThSV Eisenach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	THW Kiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vfl Gummersbach	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	Bergischer HC
HC Erlangen	22-17 W	32-26 W
Frisch Auf Goppingen	33-32 W	29-28 W
HSV Hamburg	26-31 L	35-34 W
SC Magdeburg	26-30 L	25-27 L
HSG Wetzlar	31-31 D	29-33 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bergischer HC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TVB 1898 Stuttgart

DDDDLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	22-17	W
03/06	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	33-32	W
24/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	37-33	W
07/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	26-32	L
03/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
26/04	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	26-30	L
12/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	25-25	D
02/04	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
29/03	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
15/03	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D

Bergischer HC

LWLDLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
29/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-26	W
24/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	23-32	L
08/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
02/05	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W
26/04	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	29-33	L
12/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	25-25	D
02/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	30-39	L
26/03	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	35-34	W
15/03	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	25-27	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs Bergischer HC?

Our model gives 79% to TVB 1898 Stuttgart.

How many points are expected in TVB 1898 Stuttgart vs Bergischer HC?

The model estimates 58.6 total points (TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29.9 · Bergischer HC 28.6).