Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs FC Porto

Team pages: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao · FC Porto

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.7Total

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao29.6

FC Porto34.1

1X2

23% 77%

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao FC Porto

Recent form · 10 last

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWWW

FC Porto 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 0–6 FC Porto (6 last)

FC Porto39-30Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao26-35FC Porto
FC Porto42-22Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao21-36FC Porto
FC Porto39-30Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao23-32FC Porto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 1527 · FC Porto 1572

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	FC Porto
Our model	54%	46%
Market	3%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 63.7 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.7Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 29.6 · FC Porto 34.1

Match keys

FC Porto is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours FC Porto: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	FC Porto
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 30.3	38 / 27.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 29.8	40.2 / 24.2
Est. result	30	34

Est. total63.7

Line O/U65.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

135.00

X35.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.95

2 (-12.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 63.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	35.00 → 35.00	Bet365 35.00
X	35.00 → 35.00	Bet365 35.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +14’	35.00	35.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 0–0–6 FC Porto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	FC Porto	39-30	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
04/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	26-35	FC Porto
07/12/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	FC Porto	42-22	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
19/09/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	21-36	FC Porto
01/06/24 Portugal Cup	FC Porto	39-30	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
26/11/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	23-32	FC Porto

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	7	7	0	296	184	21
2	FC Porto	7	7	0	280	174	21
3	SL Benfica	8	6	2	281	228	20
4	Madeira	7	6	1	231	199	19
5	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	8	5	3	250	243	18
6	ABC Braga	8	4	4	236	260	16
7	Vitoria SC	8	3	5	228	276	14
8	Aguas Santas	7	3	4	209	210	13
9	Belenenses	8	2	6	217	255	12
10	GC Santo Tirso	8	1	7	215	266	10
11	AD Carvalhos	8	1	7	201	269	10
12	AA Avanca	8	1	7	197	277	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	FC Porto
Aguas Santas	32-30 W	42-29 W
Vitoria SC	30-27 W	47-21 W
Madeira	37-38 L	35-27 W
AD Carvalhos	33-26 W	40-24 W
Belenenses	28-25 W	40-25 W
SL Benfica	30-37 L	37-33 W
ABC Braga	31-32 L	39-24 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Porto (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

WDLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	29-28	W
03/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	32-30	W
26/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-27	W
23/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
19/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	33-26	W
12/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	28-25	W
05/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-37	L
29/08	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L
23/05	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	33-33	D
09/05	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	30-27	W

FC Porto

LLWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	47-21	W
30/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	39-24	W
27/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	35-27	W
23/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	40-24	W
20/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	40-25	W
12/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	37-33	W
29/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	42-20	W
23/05	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	42-29	W
09/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	29-32	L
02/05	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	29-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs FC Porto?

Our model gives 77% to FC Porto.

How many points are expected in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs FC Porto?

The model estimates 63.7 total points (Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 29.6 · FC Porto 34.1).