Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Aguas Santas vs Sporting Clube

Team pages: Aguas Santas · Sporting Clube

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64Total

Aguas Santas28

Sporting Clube36

1X2

13% 87%

Aguas Santas Sporting Clube

Recent form · 10 last

Aguas Santas 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLWL

Sporting Clube 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Aguas Santas 0–6 Sporting Clube (6 last)

Aguas Santas29-37Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube36-29Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas30-36Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube38-21Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas29-30Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube36-28Aguas Santas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aguas Santas 1424 · Sporting Clube 1648

	Aguas Santas	Sporting Clube
Our model	29%	71%
Market	1%	97%

Estimated total (ours) 64 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64Aguas Santas 28 · Sporting Clube 36

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Clube (rating 1424 vs 1648).
Sporting Clube is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Sporting Clube: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Aguas Santas	Sporting Clube
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 32	40.3 / 26.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 29.6	42.6 / 27.2
Est. result	28	36

Est. total64

Line O/U66.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

167.00

X67.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+15.5)1.85

2 (-15.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 63.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
X	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:20 +5’	67.00	67.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguas Santas 0–0–6 Sporting Clube

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Aguas Santas	29-37	Sporting Clube
12/04/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	36-29	Aguas Santas
07/03/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Aguas Santas	30-36	Sporting Clube
16/11/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	38-21	Aguas Santas
18/04/25 Portugal Cup	Aguas Santas	29-30	Sporting Clube
16/11/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	36-28	Aguas Santas

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	7	7	0	0	296	184	21
2	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	280	174	21
3	SL Benfica	8	6	0	2	281	228	20
4	Madeira	7	6	0	1	231	199	19
5	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	8	5	0	3	250	243	18
6	ABC Braga	8	4	0	4	236	260	16
7	Vitoria SC	9	3	1	5	248	296	16
8	Belenenses	9	3	0	6	244	276	15
9	Aguas Santas	7	3	0	4	209	210	13
10	AA Avanca	9	1	1	7	217	297	12
11	GC Santo Tirso	9	1	0	8	236	293	11
12	AD Carvalhos	8	1	0	7	201	269	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguas Santas	Sporting Clube
GC Santo Tirso	38-31 W	37-25 W
Vitoria SC	29-33 L	51-23 W
AD Carvalhos	31-23 W	44-27 W
Belenenses	31-28 W	43-27 W
SL Benfica	23-34 L	32-27 W
FC Porto	29-42 L	36-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Clube (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguas Santas

LLLLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	30-32	L
26/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	38-31	W
23/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	29-33	L
19/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-29	L
12/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	31-23	W
05/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-28	W
29/08	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	23-34	L
23/05	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	29-42	L
09/05	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	29-37	L
02/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	25-31	L

Sporting Clube

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	51-23	W
26/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	44-27	W
23/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	43-27	W
19/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	32-27	W
13/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	43-32	W
29/08	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	37-25	W
26/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	46-23	W
23/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-22	W
09/05	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	37-29	W
02/05	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	36-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguas Santas vs Sporting Clube?

Our model gives 87% to Sporting Clube.

How many points are expected in Aguas Santas vs Sporting Clube?

The model estimates 64 total points (Aguas Santas 28 · Sporting Clube 36).