Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Bergischer HC

Team pages: TSV Hannover Burgdorf · Bergischer HC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

TSV Hannover Burgdorf30.6

Bergischer HC29.1

1X2

76% 24%

TSV Hannover Burgdorf Bergischer HC

Markets

Under 61.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLLDL

Bergischer HC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 3–1–2 Bergischer HC (6 last)

Bergischer HC30-29TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf34-30Bergischer HC
Bergischer HC28-28TSV Hannover Burgdorf
Bergischer HC26-29TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf37-28Bergischer HC
TSV Hannover Burgdorf30-32Bergischer HC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 1483 · Bergischer HC 1480

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Bergischer HC
Our model	60%	40%
Market	80%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.6 · Bergischer HC 29.1

Over / Under 61.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~58.8 pts · strength 3

Match keys

TSV Hannover Burgdorf is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours TSV Hannover Burgdorf: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Bergischer HC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.2 / 29.8	27.8 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 30.6	27.4 / 32.2
Est. result	31	29

Est. total59.7

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.8

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.18

X12.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.80

2 (+4.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 58.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:48 +28’	1.18	12.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 3–1–2 Bergischer HC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	30-29	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
20/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	34-30	Bergischer HC
05/11/25 Germany DHB Pokal	Bergischer HC	28-28	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
24/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	Bergischer HC	26-29	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
17/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	37-28	Bergischer HC
27/12/22 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	30-32	Bergischer HC

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	11	9	1	1	345	314	19
2	SC Magdeburg	10	9	0	1	332	289	18
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	10	8	1	1	347	311	17
4	TBV Lemgo	10	7	0	3	310	308	14
5	MT Melsungen	10	6	1	3	310	280	13
6	Fuchse Berlin	9	6	0	3	306	286	12
7	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	10	5	1	4	311	299	11
8	HC Erlangen	10	5	1	4	307	306	11
9	Vfl Gummersbach	9	4	2	3	280	273	10
10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	10	4	2	4	292	298	10
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	10	4	0	6	282	303	8
12	Rhein Neckar Lowen	10	3	1	6	289	304	7
13	ThSV Eisenach	10	2	2	6	281	305	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	8	2	1	5	234	227	5
15	HSV Hamburg	10	2	1	7	299	311	5
16	Bergischer HC	9	2	0	7	249	281	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	10	2	0	8	289	331	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	10	0	2	8	302	339	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	Bergischer HC
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	29-29 D	29-28 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	32-39 L	29-34 L
MT Melsungen	22-28 L	26-33 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen	36-28 W	29-28 W
HSV Hamburg	30-28 W	26-25 W
HC Erlangen	28-28 D	28-29 L
Rhein Neckar Lowen	32-31 W	26-27 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TSV Hannover Burgdorf (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Hannover Burgdorf

WDWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
19/10	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
09/10	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	32-39	L
03/10	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	22-28	L
27/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W
19/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-29	W
12/09	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	26-29	L
05/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
02/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
30/08	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W

Bergischer HC

WLLLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-25	W
17/10	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	26-33	L
02/10	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
27/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
20/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	26-37	L
13/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
05/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	26-27	L
02/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	29-34	L
28/08	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	29-30	L
07/06	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Bergischer HC?

Our model gives 76% to TSV Hannover Burgdorf.

How many points are expected in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs Bergischer HC?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (TSV Hannover Burgdorf 30.6 · Bergischer HC 29.1).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (70%).