Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: THW Kiel vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Team pages: THW Kiel · TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

THW Kiel30.9

TVB 1898 Stuttgart29.3

1X2

82% 18%

THW Kiel TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Recent form · 10 last

THW Kiel 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWWWW

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

THW Kiel 5–1 TVB 1898 Stuttgart (6 last)

TVB 1898 Stuttgart32-27THW Kiel
THW Kiel33-32TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart32-35THW Kiel
THW Kiel29-24TVB 1898 Stuttgart
THW Kiel39-36TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart31-36THW Kiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · THW Kiel 1591 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 1499

	THW Kiel	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Our model	72%	28%
Market	83%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2THW Kiel 30.9 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours THW Kiel (rating 1591 vs 1499).
THW Kiel is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours THW Kiel: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	THW Kiel	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 28.7	31.1 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 28.8	31.6 / 28.4
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

X14.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.88

2 (+5.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 60.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:58 +18’	1.14	14.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · THW Kiel 5–0–1 TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	32-27	THW Kiel
10/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	33-32	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
04/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	32-35	THW Kiel
05/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	29-24	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
18/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	39-36	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
26/11/23 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	31-36	THW Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	11	9	1	1	345	314	19
2	SC Magdeburg	10	9	0	1	332	289	18
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	10	8	1	1	347	311	17
4	TBV Lemgo	10	7	0	3	310	308	14
5	MT Melsungen	10	6	1	3	310	280	13
6	Fuchse Berlin	9	6	0	3	306	286	12
7	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	10	5	1	4	311	299	11
8	HC Erlangen	10	5	1	4	307	306	11
9	Vfl Gummersbach	9	4	2	3	280	273	10
10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	10	4	2	4	292	298	10
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	10	4	0	6	282	303	8
12	Rhein Neckar Lowen	10	3	1	6	289	304	7
13	ThSV Eisenach	10	2	2	6	281	305	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	8	2	1	5	234	227	5
15	HSV Hamburg	10	2	1	7	299	311	5
16	Bergischer HC	9	2	0	7	249	281	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	10	2	0	8	289	331	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	10	0	2	8	302	339	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	THW Kiel	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
HSV Hamburg	26-19 W	34-34 D
SC Magdeburg	26-32 L	28-29 L
ThSV Eisenach	28-27 W	33-28 W
SG BBM Bietigheim	36-28 W	39-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TVB 1898 Stuttgart (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

THW Kiel

WWWWDLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	36-31	W
15/10	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	37-36	W
11/10	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-19	W
03/10	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
30/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	26-32	L
26/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
18/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
12/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
06/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
03/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W

TVB 1898 Stuttgart

WDLLWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	39-29	W
18/10	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
08/10	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-26	W
04/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-30	L
01/10	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	33-28	W
18/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-28	W
13/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	27-32	L
06/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
02/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-34	D
28/08	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in THW Kiel vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart?

Our model gives 82% to THW Kiel.

How many points are expected in THW Kiel vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (THW Kiel 30.9 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29.3).