Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: HSV Hamburg vs Rhein Neckar Lowen

Team pages: HSV Hamburg · Rhein Neckar Lowen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

HSV Hamburg30.4

Rhein Neckar Lowen30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

HSV Hamburg Rhein Neckar Lowen

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSV Hamburg 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLWL

Rhein Neckar Lowen 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDLLL

Head-to-head

HSV Hamburg 2–1–3 Rhein Neckar Lowen (6 last)

Rhein Neckar Lowen35-29HSV Hamburg
HSV Hamburg33-30Rhein Neckar Lowen
HSV Hamburg30-30Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen30-27HSV Hamburg
Rhein Neckar Lowen34-36HSV Hamburg
HSV Hamburg32-36Rhein Neckar Lowen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSV Hamburg 1469 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 1462

	HSV Hamburg	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Our model	61%	39%
Market	44%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3HSV Hamburg 30.4 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 30

Match keys

H2H favours Rhein Neckar Lowen: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSV Hamburg	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.9 / 31.1	28.9 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 29.6	29.6 / 31.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.15

X8.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.70

2 (-0.5)2.15

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 60.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.88 → 2.15▲	Bet365 2.15
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.50 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:37 +38’	1.88	8.00	2.50
12:15 +1’	2.00▲	8.00	2.25▼
14:00 +19’	2.15▲	8.00	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSV Hamburg 2–1–3 Rhein Neckar Lowen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	35-29	HSV Hamburg
07/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSV Hamburg	33-30	Rhein Neckar Lowen
09/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSV Hamburg	30-30	Rhein Neckar Lowen
07/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	30-27	HSV Hamburg
29/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	Rhein Neckar Lowen	34-36	HSV Hamburg
02/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	HSV Hamburg	32-36	Rhein Neckar Lowen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	11	9	1	1	345	314	19
2	SC Magdeburg	10	9	0	1	332	289	18
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	10	8	1	1	347	311	17
4	TBV Lemgo	10	7	0	3	310	308	14
5	MT Melsungen	10	6	1	3	310	280	13
6	Fuchse Berlin	9	6	0	3	306	286	12
7	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	10	5	1	4	311	299	11
8	HC Erlangen	10	5	1	4	307	306	11
9	Vfl Gummersbach	9	4	2	3	280	273	10
10	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	10	4	2	4	292	298	10
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	10	4	0	6	282	303	8
12	Rhein Neckar Lowen	10	3	1	6	289	304	7
13	ThSV Eisenach	10	2	2	6	281	305	6
14	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	8	2	1	5	234	227	5
15	HSV Hamburg	10	2	1	7	299	311	5
16	Bergischer HC	9	2	0	7	249	281	4
17	SG BBM Bietigheim	10	2	0	8	289	331	4
18	HSG Wetzlar	10	0	2	8	302	339	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSV Hamburg	Rhein Neckar Lowen
Bergischer HC	25-26 L	27-26 W
THW Kiel	19-26 L	36-37 L
HSG Wetzlar	37-32 W	30-30 D
Frisch Auf Goppingen	31-32 L	28-29 L
TSV Hannover Burgdorf	28-30 L	31-32 L
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	26-30 L	29-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rhein Neckar Lowen (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSV Hamburg

LDLLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	25-26	L
17/10	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	35-30	W
11/10	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	19-26	L
01/10	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	30-34	L
27/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	37-32	W
20/09	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	34-37	L
13/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L
05/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	28-30	L
02/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-34	D
30/08	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	26-30	L

Rhein Neckar Lowen

LLWWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	23-31	L
15/10	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	36-37	L
08/10	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	29-33	L
02/10	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
26/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
17/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
11/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	29-27	W
05/09	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	27-26	W
02/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
30/08	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	31-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSV Hamburg vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSV Hamburg 54% · Rhein Neckar Lowen 46%).

How many points are expected in HSV Hamburg vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (HSV Hamburg 30.4 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 30).