Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 07/10, 19:30

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)

Team pages: Borussia Dortmund (W) · Buxtehuder SV (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

Borussia Dortmund (W)30.9

Buxtehuder SV (W)29.3

1X2

81% 19%

Borussia Dortmund (W) Buxtehuder SV (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Borussia Dortmund (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWW

Buxtehuder SV (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund (W) 3–3–0 Buxtehuder SV (W) (6 last)

Borussia Dortmund (W)36-22Buxtehuder SV (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)33-33Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)29-34Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)32-32Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)21-28Borussia Dortmund (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)25-25Buxtehuder SV (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borussia Dortmund (W) 1564 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 1535

	Borussia Dortmund (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
Our model	64%	36%
Market	87%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2Borussia Dortmund (W) 30.9 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.3

Match keys

Borussia Dortmund (W) is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Borussia Dortmund (W): 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Borussia Dortmund (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 29	28.5 / 27.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 28.2	27.4 / 28.6
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.2

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.90

Under 58.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 58.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +7’	1.04	16.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borussia Dortmund (W) 3–3–0 Buxtehuder SV (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Club Friendlies Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	36-22	Buxtehuder SV (W)
11/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	33-33	Buxtehuder SV (W)
22/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	29-34	Borussia Dortmund (W)
15/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	32-32	Buxtehuder SV (W)
08/01/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	21-28	Borussia Dortmund (W)
07/09/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Borussia Dortmund (W)	25-25	Buxtehuder SV (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	4	4	0	0	139	107	8
2	Thuringer HC (W)	4	4	0	0	147	122	8
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	4	4	0	0	135	111	8
4	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	4	2	1	1	123	111	5
5	VFL Oldenburg (W)	4	2	1	1	117	118	5
6	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	4	2	0	2	130	129	4
7	TuS Metzingen (W)	4	2	0	2	122	130	4
8	Buxtehuder SV (W)	4	2	0	2	105	113	4
9	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	4	0	1	3	103	119	1
10	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	4	0	1	3	112	129	1
11	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	4	0	0	4	104	125	0
12	HC Leipzig (W)	4	0	0	4	102	125	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borussia Dortmund (W)	Buxtehuder SV (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	33-24 W	28-24 W
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	31-26 W	25-30 L
Neckarsulmer SU (W)	35-33 W	27-26 W
HC Leipzig (W)	36-28 W	26-23 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Borussia Dortmund (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borussia Dortmund (W)

LWWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-24	W
09/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
02/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	35-33	W
29/08	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
31/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-30	L
24/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
17/05	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-27	W
02/05	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-29	W
25/04	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	34-32	W
04/04	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-33	L

Buxtehuder SV (W)

LWDWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-30	L
12/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-26	W
05/09	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-23	W
30/08	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-34	L
31/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
23/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
10/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-24	W
02/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-28	D
25/04	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-24	W
18/04	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borussia Dortmund (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)?

Our model gives 81% to Borussia Dortmund (W).

How many points are expected in Borussia Dortmund (W) vs Buxtehuder SV (W)?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (Borussia Dortmund (W) 30.9 · Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.3).