Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs Thuringer HC (W)
Team pages: BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) · Thuringer HC (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.6Total
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)28.4
Thuringer HC (W)32.2
1X2
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Thuringer HC (W)
Recent form · 10 last
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Thuringer HC (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
0–6
Thuringer HC (W)
(6 last)
- Thuringer HC (W)32-23BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
- BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)31-32Thuringer HC (W)
- BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)24-38Thuringer HC (W)
- Thuringer HC (W)31-26BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
- Thuringer HC (W)33-23BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
- BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)23-28Thuringer HC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1403 · Thuringer HC (W) 1577
| BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | Thuringer HC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 8% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.6BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 28.4 · Thuringer HC (W) 32.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thuringer HC (W) (rating 1403 vs 1577).
- Thuringer HC (W) is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Thuringer HC (W): 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | Thuringer HC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 27.3 / 32.1 | 31.9 / 30.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25.6 / 30.4 | 35.4 / 30.4 |
| Est. result | 28 | 32 |
Est. total60.6
Line O/U61.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 0–0–6 Thuringer HC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Germany Bundesliga Women | Thuringer HC (W) | 32-23 | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) |
| 27/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | 31-32 | Thuringer HC (W) |
| 02/04/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | 24-38 | Thuringer HC (W) |
| 04/01/25 Germany Bundesliga Women | Thuringer HC (W) | 31-26 | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) |
| 13/03/24 Germany Bundesliga Women | Thuringer HC (W) | 33-23 | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) |
| 21/10/23 Germany Bundesliga Women | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | 23-28 | Thuringer HC (W) |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 158 | 11 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 167 | 10 |
| 3 | Thuringer HC (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 152 | 9 |
| 4 | VFL Oldenburg (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 177 | 9 |
| 5 | TuS Metzingen (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 157 | 6 |
| 6 | HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 153 | 146 | 5 |
| 7 | Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 158 | 160 | 4 |
| 8 | Buxtehuder SV (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 128 | 146 | 4 |
| 9 | SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 145 | 154 | 3 |
| 10 | Neckarsulmer SU (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 135 | 153 | 2 |
| 11 | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 128 | 152 | 1 |
| 12 | HC Leipzig (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 150 | 189 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) | Thuringer HC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) | 20-31 L | 30-30 D |
| TuS Metzingen (W) | 25-29 L | 35-33 W |
| Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) | 28-29 L | 37-32 W |
| VFL Oldenburg (W) | 30-30 D | 41-30 W |
| Buxtehuder SV (W) | 30-32 L | 34-27 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Thuringer HC (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
25-33 | L |
| 16/09 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
20-31 | L |
| 13/09 | TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
25-29 | L |
| 05/09 | Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
28-29 | L |
| 30/08 | VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
30-30 | D |
| 31/05 | Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
30-32 | L |
| 23/05 | SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
21-37 | L |
| 20/05 | VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
30-37 | L |
| 09/05 | Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
37-31 | W |
| 02/05 | TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
27-32 | L |
Thuringer HC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
30-30 | D |
| 19/09 | TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
35-33 | W |
| 12/09 | Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
37-32 | W |
| 06/09 | VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
41-30 | W |
| 30/08 | Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
34-27 | W |
| 23/05 | HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
28-27 | W |
| 09/05 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
24-35 | L |
| 03/05 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
29-28 | W |
| 25/04 | HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
25-31 | L |
| 04/04 | HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women |
36-33 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs Thuringer HC (W)?
Our model gives 81% to Thuringer HC (W).
How many points are expected in BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) vs Thuringer HC (W)?
The model estimates 60.6 total points (BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 28.4 · Thuringer HC (W) 32.2).