Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 19:30

Prediction: TuS Metzingen (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Team pages: TuS Metzingen (W) · Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.4Total

TuS Metzingen (W)31.5

Neckarsulmer SU (W)28.9

1X2

67% 33%

TuS Metzingen (W) Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Recent form · 10 last

TuS Metzingen (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWLW

Neckarsulmer SU (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

TuS Metzingen (W) 4–2 Neckarsulmer SU (W) (6 last)

TuS Metzingen (W)28-23Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Neckarsulmer SU (W)38-28TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)30-29Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Neckarsulmer SU (W)30-25TuS Metzingen (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)30-25Neckarsulmer SU (W)
TuS Metzingen (W)28-23Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuS Metzingen (W) 1524 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 1432

	TuS Metzingen (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Our model	72%	28%
Market	57%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 60.4 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.4TuS Metzingen (W) 31.5 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 28.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TuS Metzingen (W) (rating 1524 vs 1432).
TuS Metzingen (W) is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours TuS Metzingen (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TuS Metzingen (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 30.2	27.2 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 31.4	27 / 30.6
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.4

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.95

Under 58.51.75

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 60.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:09 +9’	1.60	8.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TuS Metzingen (W) 4–0–2 Neckarsulmer SU (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	28-23	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
21/03/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	38-28	TuS Metzingen (W)
27/12/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	30-29	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
02/04/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	30-25	TuS Metzingen (W)
29/12/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	30-25	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
03/02/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	TuS Metzingen (W)	28-23	Neckarsulmer SU (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	6	5	1	0	201	158	11
2	Thuringer HC (W)	6	5	1	0	210	175	11
3	Borussia Dortmund (W)	6	5	0	1	197	167	10
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	6	4	1	1	185	177	9
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	6	3	1	2	187	190	7
6	Buxtehuder SV (W)	6	3	0	3	158	171	6
7	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	5	2	1	2	153	146	5
8	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	5	2	0	3	158	160	4
9	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	6	1	1	4	170	184	3
10	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	6	1	1	4	168	186	3
11	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	6	0	1	5	151	185	1
12	HC Leipzig (W)	6	0	0	6	150	189	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TuS Metzingen (W)	Neckarsulmer SU (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	29-25 W	31-37 L
VFL Oldenburg (W)	36-34 W	23-29 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	29-33 L	31-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TuS Metzingen (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuS Metzingen (W)

LWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-27	W
19/09	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
13/09	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-25	W
02/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-40	L
30/08	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
30/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-28	W
23/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	36-34	W
16/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-23	W
02/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-27	W
25/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-33	L

Neckarsulmer SU (W)

LDLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-28	W
16/09	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-29	L
12/09	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-27	L
02/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-35	L
29/08	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	22-34	L
30/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-36	L
16/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-28	L
09/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	31-37	L
03/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
25/04	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuS Metzingen (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)?

Our model gives 67% to TuS Metzingen (W).

How many points are expected in TuS Metzingen (W) vs Neckarsulmer SU (W)?

The model estimates 60.4 total points (TuS Metzingen (W) 31.5 · Neckarsulmer SU (W) 28.9).