Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Team pages: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

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Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)30.5

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)27.8

1X2

65% 35%

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Recent form · 10 last

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLDLL

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 3–3 BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) (6 last)

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)31-22BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)37-21BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)33-32BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)30-23SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)26-19SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)22-25BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1473 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 1416

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Our model	68%	32%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 58.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 30.5 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 27.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) (rating 1473 vs 1416).
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 29.4	26.7 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 31	26.6 / 30.2
Est. result	31	28

Est. total58.4

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 58.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.30 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +40’	1.85	8.50	2.30
22:25 +8’	1.85	8.00▼	2.30
15:21 +3’	1.60▼	8.50▲	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 3–0–3 BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	31-22	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
23/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	37-21	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
25/02/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	33-32	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
30/10/25 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	30-23	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
27/04/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	26-19	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
27/12/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	22-25	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund (W)	5	5	0	0	168	134	10
2	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	5	4	1	0	169	137	9
3	Thuringer HC (W)	5	4	1	0	177	152	9
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	5	3	1	1	152	148	7
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	5	3	0	2	154	157	6
6	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	5	2	1	2	153	146	5
7	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	5	2	0	3	158	160	4
8	Buxtehuder SV (W)	5	2	0	3	128	146	4
9	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	5	1	0	4	135	153	2
10	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	4	0	1	3	103	119	1
11	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	4	0	1	3	112	129	1
12	HC Leipzig (W)	5	0	0	5	129	157	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)
HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	25-31 L	20-31 L
TuS Metzingen (W)	30-32 L	25-29 L
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	25-28 L	28-29 L
Buxtehuder SV (W)	24-28 L	30-32 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-33	L
09/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
05/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
30/08	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L
23/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-21	W
17/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-28	L
10/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-28	L

BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	20-31	L
13/09	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
05/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-29	L
30/08	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-30	D
31/05	Buxtehuder SV (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
23/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	21-37	L
20/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-37	L
09/05	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-31	W
02/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-32	L
19/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	19-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)?

Our model gives 65% to SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W).

How many points are expected in SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) vs BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 30.5 · BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) 27.8).