Handball · Germany Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Buxtehuder SV (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Team pages: Buxtehuder SV (W) · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.3Total

Buxtehuder SV (W)29.2

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)28.1

1X2

75% 25%

Buxtehuder SV (W) SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Buxtehuder SV (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWWLL

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Buxtehuder SV (W) 4–2 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) (6 last)

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)24-28Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)29-30SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)33-24Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)29-27SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)30-31Buxtehuder SV (W)
Buxtehuder SV (W)37-24SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Buxtehuder SV (W) 1544 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 1498

	Buxtehuder SV (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Our model	66%	34%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 57.3 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.3Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.2 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 28.1

Match keys

Buxtehuder SV (W) is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Buxtehuder SV (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Buxtehuder SV (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28 / 28.2	29.7 / 29.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.6 / 29.2	29 / 30.8
Est. result	29	28

Est. total57.3

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 57.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:15	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Buxtehuder SV (W) 4–0–2 SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	24-28	Buxtehuder SV (W)
04/04/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	29-30	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
03/01/26 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	33-24	Buxtehuder SV (W)
18/05/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	29-27	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
21/01/24 Germany Bundesliga Women	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	30-31	Buxtehuder SV (W)
11/03/23 Germany Bundesliga Women	Buxtehuder SV (W)	37-24	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

Standings · Germany Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W)	6	5	1	0	201	158	11
2	Borussia Dortmund (W)	6	5	0	1	197	167	10
3	Thuringer HC (W)	5	4	1	0	177	152	9
4	VFL Oldenburg (W)	6	4	1	1	185	177	9
5	TuS Metzingen (W)	5	3	0	2	154	157	6
6	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	5	2	1	2	153	146	5
7	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	5	2	0	3	158	160	4
8	Buxtehuder SV (W)	5	2	0	3	128	146	4
9	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)	5	1	1	3	145	154	3
10	Neckarsulmer SU (W)	5	1	0	4	135	153	2
11	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	5	0	1	4	128	152	1
12	HC Leipzig (W)	6	0	0	6	150	189	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Buxtehuder SV (W)	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)
Borussia Dortmund (W)	23-33 L	24-33 L
HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W)	25-30 L	33-33 D
BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W)	32-30 W	33-25 W
Frisch Auf Goppingen (W)	32-30 W	25-28 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Buxtehuder SV (W)

WDWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	23-33	L
19/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-30	L
12/09	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-26	W
05/09	HC Leipzig (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	26-23	W
30/08	Thuringer HC (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	27-34	L
31/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
23/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
10/05	SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-24	W
02/05	VFL Oldenburg (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-28	D
25/04	Neckarsulmer SU (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	32-24	W

SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)

LWLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-25	W
16/09	Borussia Dortmund (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	24-33	L
09/09	HSG Blomberg-Lippe (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
05/09	HSG Bensheim/Auerbach (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-33	D
30/08	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
06/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	33-26	W
03/06	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	29-26	W
30/05	TuS Metzingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	28-36	L
23/05	BSV Sachsen Zwickau (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	37-21	W
17/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen (W) Germany Bundesliga Women	25-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Buxtehuder SV (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

Our model gives 75% to Buxtehuder SV (W).

How many points are expected in Buxtehuder SV (W) vs SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W)?

The model estimates 57.3 total points (Buxtehuder SV (W) 29.2 · SV Union Halle-Neustadt (W) 28.1).