Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Skanderborg Handbold vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Team pages: Skanderborg Handbold · Mors-Thy Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.7Total

Skanderborg Handbold33.1

Mors-Thy Handbold31.5

1X2

70% 30%

Skanderborg Handbold Mors-Thy Handbold

Recent form · 10 last

Skanderborg Handbold 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWWWL

Mors-Thy Handbold 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Skanderborg Handbold 2–2–2 Mors-Thy Handbold (6 last)

Mors-Thy Handbold35-29Skanderborg Handbold
Skanderborg Handbold36-36Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold27-33Skanderborg Handbold
Skanderborg Handbold28-31Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold29-31Skanderborg Handbold
Skanderborg Handbold38-38Mors-Thy Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skanderborg Handbold 1490 · Mors-Thy Handbold 1484

	Skanderborg Handbold	Mors-Thy Handbold
Our model	61%	39%
Market	69%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 64.7 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.7Skanderborg Handbold 33.1 · Mors-Thy Handbold 31.5

Match keys

Skanderborg Handbold is a clear favourite (70% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Skanderborg Handbold	Mors-Thy Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.9 / 32.6	30.9 / 34
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 33.8	32.2 / 31.2
Est. result	33	32

Est. total64.7

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X10.00

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.90

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 65.2

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 12:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.37▲	Bet365 1.37
X	12.00 → 10.00▼	Bet365 10.00
2	5.50 → 4.25▼	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +3’	1.25	12.00	5.50
10:27 +27’	1.32▲	10.00▼	4.75▼
11:53 +7’	1.25▼	12.00▲	5.50▲
12:52 +4’	1.32▲	10.00▼	4.75▼
08:52 +10’	1.37▲	10.00	4.25▼
10:39 +27’	1.32▼	10.00	4.75▲
11:58 +5’	1.37▲	10.00	4.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanderborg Handbold 2–2–2 Mors-Thy Handbold

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	35-29	Skanderborg Handbold
12/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skanderborg Handbold	36-36	Mors-Thy Handbold
06/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	27-33	Skanderborg Handbold
04/10/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skanderborg Handbold	28-31	Mors-Thy Handbold
18/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	29-31	Skanderborg Handbold
20/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skanderborg Handbold	38-38	Mors-Thy Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	6	5	1	0	197	175	11
1	Ribe Esbjerg HH	6	5	1	0	197	175	11
3	Aalborg Handbold	6	4	1	1	186	179	9
4	Skjern Handbold	6	4	0	2	201	182	8
5	Skanderborg Handbold	6	4	0	2	204	203	8
6	Team Tvis Holstebro	7	3	1	3	225	213	7
7	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	217	222	7
8	Fredericia HK	6	3	0	3	176	167	6
9	Mors-Thy Handbold	6	3	0	3	193	190	6
10	KIF Kolding Kbh.	7	2	1	4	215	231	5
11	SonderjyskE	6	2	0	4	183	193	4
12	Nordsjaelland Handbold	6	1	1	4	180	197	3
13	Skive FH	7	1	0	6	235	252	2
14	TMS Ringsted	6	0	1	5	183	213	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skanderborg Handbold	Mors-Thy Handbold
Skjern Handbold	25-38 L	32-35 L
KIF Kolding Kbh.	32-26 W	34-31 W
Skive FH	42-38 W	34-30 W
GOG	31-34 L	29-32 L
TMS Ringsted	40-34 W	32-28 W
Aalborg Handbold	31-35 L	35-37 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skanderborg Handbold

DWLLWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	25-38	L
13/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	32-26	W
05/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	42-38	W
02/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-33	W
29/08	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	31-34	L
26/08	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	40-34	W
04/06	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-35	L
31/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-30	L
23/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	33-26	W
20/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D

Mors-Thy Handbold

LLLLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
11/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	34-30	W
06/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
02/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L
30/08	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
26/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	32-34	L
04/06	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
31/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	31-38	L
23/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-37	L
20/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	21-40	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skanderborg Handbold vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

Our model gives 70% to Skanderborg Handbold.

How many points are expected in Skanderborg Handbold vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

The model estimates 64.7 total points (Skanderborg Handbold 33.1 · Mors-Thy Handbold 31.5).