Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Fredericia HK vs Team Tvis Holstebro

Team pages: Fredericia HK · Team Tvis Holstebro

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.5Total

Fredericia HK29.9

Team Tvis Holstebro30.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Fredericia HK Team Tvis Holstebro

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fredericia HK 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWLL

Team Tvis Holstebro 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Fredericia HK 1–2–3 Team Tvis Holstebro (6 last)

Team Tvis Holstebro29-29Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK31-31Team Tvis Holstebro
Team Tvis Holstebro31-25Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK28-32Team Tvis Holstebro
Fredericia HK31-24Team Tvis Holstebro
Team Tvis Holstebro29-28Fredericia HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fredericia HK 1497 · Team Tvis Holstebro 1527

	Fredericia HK	Team Tvis Holstebro
Our model	56%	44%
Market	51%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 60.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.5Fredericia HK 29.9 · Team Tvis Holstebro 30.6

Match keys

H2H favours Team Tvis Holstebro: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fredericia HK	Team Tvis Holstebro
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29 / 30	31.9 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 28.6	31.8 / 29.8
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.88

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 60.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.88	Bet365 1.88
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:46 +10’	1.88	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredericia HK 1–2–3 Team Tvis Holstebro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	29-29	Fredericia HK
07/10/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	31-31	Team Tvis Holstebro
14/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	31-25	Fredericia HK
27/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	28-32	Team Tvis Holstebro
07/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	31-24	Team Tvis Holstebro
06/09/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	29-28	Fredericia HK

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	7	6	1	0	233	206	13
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	7	5	1	1	228	211	11
3	Aalborg Handbold	7	5	1	1	222	209	11
4	Skanderborg Handbold	7	5	0	2	242	232	10
5	Skjern Handbold	7	4	0	3	228	213	8
6	Team Tvis Holstebro	7	3	1	3	225	213	7
7	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	217	222	7
8	SonderjyskE	7	3	0	4	214	223	6
9	Mors-Thy Handbold	7	3	0	4	222	228	6
10	Fredericia HK	7	3	0	4	206	198	6
11	Nordsjaelland Handbold	7	2	1	4	211	224	5
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	7	2	1	4	215	231	5
13	Skive FH	7	1	0	6	235	252	2
14	TMS Ringsted	7	0	1	6	213	249	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredericia HK	Team Tvis Holstebro
SonderjyskE	30-31 L	28-31 L
GOG	28-32 L	29-29 D
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	26-28 L	37-33 W
Aalborg Handbold	33-26 W	29-31 L
Skjern Handbold	31-37 L	27-29 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Team Tvis Holstebro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredericia HK

LLLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	30-31	L
19/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
11/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
07/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	26-28	L
02/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-26	W
30/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
26/08	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-24	W
10/05	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-37	L
02/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-36	L
25/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L

Team Tvis Holstebro

LWWWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	37-31	W
15/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	38-29	W
12/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L
08/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	28-31	L
03/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-29	D
30/08	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-31	L
27/08	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	37-33	W
10/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-28	W
01/05	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-30	W
23/04	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredericia HK vs Team Tvis Holstebro?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fredericia HK 57% · Team Tvis Holstebro 43%).

How many points are expected in Fredericia HK vs Team Tvis Holstebro?

The model estimates 60.5 total points (Fredericia HK 29.9 · Team Tvis Holstebro 30.6).