Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: SonderjyskE vs TMS Ringsted

Team pages: SonderjyskE · TMS Ringsted

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.4Total

SonderjyskE32.7

TMS Ringsted30.8

1X2

76% 24%

SonderjyskE TMS Ringsted

Markets

Under 65.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

SonderjyskE 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLWLLW

TMS Ringsted 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

SonderjyskE 3–3 TMS Ringsted (6 last)

TMS Ringsted22-31SonderjyskE
SonderjyskE32-35TMS Ringsted
SonderjyskE25-30TMS Ringsted
TMS Ringsted36-31SonderjyskE
SonderjyskE36-30TMS Ringsted
SonderjyskE28-27TMS Ringsted

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SonderjyskE 1487 · TMS Ringsted 1424

	SonderjyskE	TMS Ringsted
Our model	68%	32%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 63.4 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.4SonderjyskE 32.7 · TMS Ringsted 30.8

Over / Under 65.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~62.9 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SonderjyskE (rating 1487 vs 1424).
SonderjyskE is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SonderjyskE	TMS Ringsted
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 31.5	29.3 / 34.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 31.6	29.8 / 33.8
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.4

Line O/U65.5

Diff.2.1

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X11.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.95

2 (+4.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.88

Under 65.51.88

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 63.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
2	4.25 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:51 +3’	1.37	10.00	4.25
13:57 +2’	1.27▼	11.00▲	5.50▲
14:40 +18’	1.37▲	10.00▼	4.25▼
15:34 +34’	1.27▼	11.00▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SonderjyskE 3–0–3 TMS Ringsted

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	22-31	SonderjyskE
14/02/26 Denmark Cup	SonderjyskE	32-35	TMS Ringsted
10/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	25-30	TMS Ringsted
11/10/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	36-31	SonderjyskE
03/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	36-30	TMS Ringsted
21/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	28-27	TMS Ringsted

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	7	6	1	0	233	206	13
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	7	5	1	1	228	211	11
3	Aalborg Handbold	7	5	1	1	222	209	11
4	Skanderborg Handbold	7	5	0	2	242	232	10
5	Skjern Handbold	7	4	0	3	228	213	8
6	Team Tvis Holstebro	7	3	1	3	225	213	7
7	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	217	222	7
8	SonderjyskE	7	3	0	4	214	223	6
9	Mors-Thy Handbold	7	3	0	4	222	228	6
10	Fredericia HK	7	3	0	4	206	198	6
11	Nordsjaelland Handbold	7	2	1	4	211	224	5
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	7	2	1	4	215	231	5
13	Skive FH	7	1	0	6	235	252	2
14	TMS Ringsted	7	0	1	6	213	249	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SonderjyskE	TMS Ringsted
Fredericia HK	31-30 W	26-31 L
Skive FH	36-33 W	35-40 L
Aalborg Handbold	28-32 L	30-36 L
Ribe Esbjerg HH	35-36 L	30-30 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SonderjyskE (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SonderjyskE

LWDLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	31-30	W
16/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	31-32	L
13/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
08/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-28	W
03/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	28-33	L
30/08	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	36-33	W
26/08	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
25/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	34-34	D
19/04	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	31-22	W
12/04	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-36	L

TMS Ringsted

WLLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-36	L
19/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
11/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-31	L
05/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
02/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-40	L
29/08	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-40	L
26/08	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-40	L
19/04	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	22-31	L
15/04	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	28-35	L
11/04	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SonderjyskE vs TMS Ringsted?

Our model gives 76% to SonderjyskE.

How many points are expected in SonderjyskE vs TMS Ringsted?

The model estimates 63.4 total points (SonderjyskE 32.7 · TMS Ringsted 30.8).

Over or under 65.5 points?

Recent history points to under 65.5 points (65%).