Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: Mors-Thy Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold

Team pages: Mors-Thy Handbold · Nordsjaelland Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.9Total

Mors-Thy Handbold31.9

Nordsjaelland Handbold31

1X2

71% 29%

Mors-Thy Handbold Nordsjaelland Handbold

Recent form · 10 last

Mors-Thy Handbold 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWWL

Nordsjaelland Handbold 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Mors-Thy Handbold 4–2–0 Nordsjaelland Handbold (6 last)

Nordsjaelland Handbold31-36Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold33-26Nordsjaelland Handbold
Nordsjaelland Handbold35-35Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold40-34Nordsjaelland Handbold
Nordsjaelland Handbold28-30Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold30-30Nordsjaelland Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mors-Thy Handbold 1479 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 1436

	Mors-Thy Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Our model	66%	34%
Market	67%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 62.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.9Mors-Thy Handbold 31.9 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 31

Match keys

Mors-Thy Handbold is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Mors-Thy Handbold: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mors-Thy Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.7 / 33.8	29.5 / 31.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 32.6	30.8 / 32.2
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)2.05

2 (+3.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 63.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.35 → 1.40▲	Bet365 1.40
X	10.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	4.50 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:19 +37’	1.35	10.00	4.50
16:06 +3’	1.40▲	9.50▼	4.00▼
17:34 +37’	1.35▼	10.00▲	4.50▲
19:02 +22’	1.40▲	9.50▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mors-Thy Handbold 4–2–0 Nordsjaelland Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Nordsjaelland Handbold	31-36	Mors-Thy Handbold
11/10/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	33-26	Nordsjaelland Handbold
30/09/25 Denmark Cup	Nordsjaelland Handbold	35-35	Mors-Thy Handbold
28/02/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	40-34	Nordsjaelland Handbold
10/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Nordsjaelland Handbold	28-30	Mors-Thy Handbold
16/12/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	30-30	Nordsjaelland Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	7	6	1	0	233	206	13
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	7	5	1	1	228	211	11
3	Aalborg Handbold	7	5	1	1	222	209	11
4	Skanderborg Handbold	7	5	0	2	242	232	10
5	Skjern Handbold	7	4	0	3	228	213	8
6	Team Tvis Holstebro	7	3	1	3	225	213	7
7	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	217	222	7
8	SonderjyskE	7	3	0	4	214	223	6
9	Mors-Thy Handbold	7	3	0	4	222	228	6
10	Fredericia HK	7	3	0	4	206	198	6
11	Nordsjaelland Handbold	7	2	1	4	211	224	5
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	7	2	1	4	215	231	5
13	Skive FH	7	1	0	6	235	252	2
14	TMS Ringsted	7	0	1	6	213	249	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mors-Thy Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Skanderborg Handbold	29-38 L	33-34 L
TMS Ringsted	32-28 W	26-30 L
Skjern Handbold	32-35 L	31-27 W
KIF Kolding Kbh.	34-31 W	32-32 D
Ribe Esbjerg HH	32-34 L	29-34 L
Aalborg Handbold	35-37 L	29-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mors-Thy Handbold (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mors-Thy Handbold

LLLLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-38	L
19/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
11/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	34-30	W
06/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
02/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L
30/08	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
26/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	32-34	L
04/06	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
31/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	31-38	L
23/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-37	L

Nordsjaelland Handbold

LWLLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-27	W
20/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-34	L
12/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	29-34	L
06/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D
02/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-34	L
30/08	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	33-32	W
26/08	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	24-31	L
25/04	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	26-37	L
15/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	32-27	W
11/04	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mors-Thy Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold?

Our model gives 71% to Mors-Thy Handbold.

How many points are expected in Mors-Thy Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold?

The model estimates 62.9 total points (Mors-Thy Handbold 31.9 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 31).