Handball · France Starligue · 25/09, 20:30

Prediction: Selestat Alsace HB vs Montpellier

Team pages: Selestat Alsace HB · Montpellier

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

Selestat Alsace HB30.3

Montpellier32.8

1X2

28% 72%

Selestat Alsace HB Montpellier

Recent form · 10 last

Selestat Alsace HB 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDLWW

Montpellier 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Selestat Alsace HB 0–6 Montpellier (6 last)

Selestat Alsace HB33-38Montpellier
Montpellier35-30Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB27-35Montpellier
Montpellier34-25Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB28-33Montpellier
Montpellier36-15Selestat Alsace HB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Selestat Alsace HB 1491 · Montpellier 1532

	Selestat Alsace HB	Montpellier
Our model	54%	46%
Market	10%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63Selestat Alsace HB 30.3 · Montpellier 32.8

Match keys

Montpellier is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Montpellier: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Selestat Alsace HB	Montpellier
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 30.9	34.3 / 31.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 29.4	34.6 / 29.8
Est. result	30	33

Est. total63

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

19.50

X14.00

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.90

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 63.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 9.50▲	Bet365 9.50
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	1.15 → 1.13▼	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +6’	8.50	14.00	1.15
10:52 +3’	9.50▲	14.00	1.13▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Selestat Alsace HB 0–0–6 Montpellier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	33-38	Montpellier
07/11/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	35-30	Selestat Alsace HB
03/09/24 France Cup	Selestat Alsace HB	27-35	Montpellier
14/04/23 France Starligue	Montpellier	34-25	Selestat Alsace HB
09/12/22 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	28-33	Montpellier
01/02/20 France Cup	Montpellier	36-15	Selestat Alsace HB

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantes	3	3	0	112	87	6
2	PSG Handball	3	3	0	97	79	6
3	Limoges HB 87	3	2	1	102	84	4
4	Montpellier	3	2	1	110	91	4
5	USM Saran	3	2	1	88	85	4
6	USAM Nimes	3	2	1	99	101	4
7	Selestat Alsace HB	3	2	1	90	90	4
8	Caen Handball	3	2	1	81	93	4
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	3	1	2	83	106	2
10	Tremblay	3	1	2	94	103	2
11	Cesson Rennes	3	1	2	85	92	2
12	Chambery Savoie	3	1	2	99	94	2
13	Pays d'Aix UC	3	1	2	90	99	2
14	Saint Raphael	3	1	2	87	97	2
15	Toulouse	3	0	3	80	84	0
16	Dunkerque	3	0	3	78	90	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Selestat Alsace HB	Montpellier
Toulouse	25-24 W	29-28 W
Pays d'Aix UC	32-34 L	29-33 L
Dijon	32-27 W	38-28 W
Cesson Rennes	37-31 W	36-34 W
USAM Nimes	33-28 W	38-33 W
Saint Raphael	28-31 L	35-38 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Selestat Alsace HB (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Selestat Alsace HB

LLWLWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/09	Toulouse France Starligue	25-24	W
11/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-32	W
05/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Dijon France Starligue	32-27	W
27/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	37-31	W
10/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	23-34	L
01/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-28	W
26/04	Saint Raphael France Starligue	28-31	L
17/04	Tremblay France Starligue	34-38	L

Montpellier

LLWWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Nantes France Starligue	31-36	L
13/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	38-33	W
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W
01/05	Dijon France Starligue	38-28	W
24/04	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-33	L
19/04	Nantes France Starligue	32-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Selestat Alsace HB vs Montpellier?

Our model gives 72% to Montpellier.

How many points are expected in Selestat Alsace HB vs Montpellier?

The model estimates 63 total points (Selestat Alsace HB 30.3 · Montpellier 32.8).