Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 12/09, 19:00

Prediction: HSG Freiburg (W) vs SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

Team pages: HSG Freiburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.6Total

HSG Freiburg (W)29.9

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)32.7

1X2

27% 73%

HSG Freiburg (W) SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

Markets

Over 60.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Freiburg (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HSG Freiburg (W) 0–6 SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (6 last)

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)37-25HSG Freiburg (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)24-34SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)25-19HSG Freiburg (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)23-33SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)26-23HSG Freiburg (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)23-28SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Freiburg (W) 1481 · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 1592

	HSG Freiburg (W)	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
Our model	44%	56%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 62.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.6HSG Freiburg (W) 29.9 · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 32.7

Over / Under 60.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~62.9 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (rating 1481 vs 1592).
SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Freiburg (W)	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 31.6	33.3 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28 / 35.2	35.4 / 27.4
Est. result	30	33

Est. total62.6

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.1

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.95

Under 60.51.75

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 61.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.16 → 1.16	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:37 +29’	6.50	12.00	1.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Freiburg (W) 0–0–6 SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	37-25	HSG Freiburg (W)
07/09/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	24-34	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
17/02/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	25-19	HSG Freiburg (W)
07/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	23-33	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
06/03/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	26-23	HSG Freiburg (W)
17/10/20 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	23-28	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
1	VfL Waiblingen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	2	2	0	0	67	51	4
4	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	2	2	0	0	61	56	4
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	2	1	1	0	65	60	3
6	Bergischer HC (W)	2	1	1	0	56	53	3
7	HC Rodertal (W)	2	1	0	1	69	55	2
8	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	2	1	0	1	55	42	2
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	2	1	0	1	62	60	2
10	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	2	1	0	1	52	59	2
11	Rostocker HC (W)	1	0	0	1	24	31	0
12	SV Todesfelde (W)	2	0	0	2	57	66	0
13	HSG Freiburg (W)	1	0	0	1	28	39	0
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	2	0	0	2	54	68	0
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	2	0	0	2	39	58	0
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	2	0	0	2	44	69	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Freiburg (W)	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)
HC Rodertal (W)	25-40 L	32-31 W
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	33-34 L	28-36 L
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	31-20 W	37-23 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Freiburg (W)

WWWWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-39	L
30/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-40	L
23/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-34	L
17/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-31	L
09/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-32	L
02/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
25/04	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-29	W
18/04	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-32	W
04/04	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-20	W
28/03	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-30	W

SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-31	W
29/08	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-23	W
30/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-27	W
23/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-26	W
16/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-30	W
09/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-21	W
02/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-18	W
25/04	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-29	W
18/04	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-31	W
04/04	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Freiburg (W) vs SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)?

Our model gives 73% to SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W).

How many points are expected in HSG Freiburg (W) vs SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)?

The model estimates 62.6 total points (HSG Freiburg (W) 29.9 · SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) 32.7).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to over 60.5 points (65%).