Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 19/09, 17:30

Prediction: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Team pages: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) · SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.1Total

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)30.7

SG 09 Kirchhof (W)24.4

1X2

77% 23%

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Recent form · 10 last

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWL

SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 3–1 SG 09 Kirchhof (W) (4 last)

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)25-18SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)32-34HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)27-26HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)35-23SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 1561 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 1398

	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
Our model	79%	21%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 55.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.1HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 30.7 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 24.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) (rating 1561 vs 1398).
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W): 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 26.2	25.2 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 29	28 / 31.6
Est. result	31	24

Est. total55.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.4.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 56.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:53 +5’	1.32	9.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 3–0–1 SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	25-18	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
30/08/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	32-34	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
20/02/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	27-26	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
20/09/20 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	35-23	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	3	3	0	0	110	76	6
2	VfL Waiblingen (W)	3	3	0	0	102	75	6
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	3	3	0	0	98	81	6
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	3	2	1	0	105	80	5
5	Bergischer HC (W)	3	2	1	0	91	84	5
6	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	3	2	0	1	91	69	4
7	HC Rodertal (W)	3	2	0	1	101	81	4
8	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	3	2	0	1	87	88	4
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	3	1	0	2	83	91	2
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	3	1	0	2	82	90	2
11	SV Todesfelde (W)	3	0	1	2	92	101	1
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	3	0	1	2	79	104	1
13	SV Werder Bremen (W)	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
13	TUS Lintfort (W)	3	0	0	3	70	93	0
15	Rostocker HC (W)	2	0	0	2	44	71	0
16	HSG Freiburg (W)	2	0	0	2	50	78	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)	34-32 W	29-34 L
VfL Waiblingen (W)	28-22 W	31-32 L
Rostocker HC (W)	34-23 W	26-28 L
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	27-26 W	30-31 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)

WWWWWLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-32	L
05/09	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-32	W
29/08	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-22	W
23/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-35	L
16/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-23	W
09/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-25	W
02/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-26	W
26/04	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-24	W
17/04	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-19	W

SG 09 Kirchhof (W)

LLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-31	L
06/09	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-22	W
29/08	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-37	L
30/05	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-36	L
23/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-32	L
17/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L
09/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-34	L
02/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-37	L
25/04	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-28	L
19/04	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	16-22	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)?

Our model gives 77% to HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W).

How many points are expected in HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs SG 09 Kirchhof (W)?

The model estimates 55.1 total points (HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 30.7 · SG 09 Kirchhof (W) 24.4).