Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 19/09, 18:30

Prediction: Rostocker HC (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)

Team pages: Rostocker HC (W) · Bergischer HC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56Total

Rostocker HC (W)27.8

Bergischer HC (W)28.2

1X2

39% 61%

Rostocker HC (W) Bergischer HC (W)

Markets

Under 59.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Rostocker HC (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Bergischer HC (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Rostocker HC (W) 1–1 Bergischer HC (W) (2 last)

Bergischer HC (W)28-20Rostocker HC (W)
Rostocker HC (W)30-25Bergischer HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rostocker HC (W) 1417 · Bergischer HC (W) 1438

	Rostocker HC (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
Our model	57%	43%
Market	25%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 56 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56Rostocker HC (W) 27.8 · Bergischer HC (W) 28.2

Over / Under 59.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~56.4 pts · strength 3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rostocker HC (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.5 / 31.4	26.3 / 31.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	22 / 32.2	27.8 / 30.4
Est. result	28	28

Est. total56

Line O/U59.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.60

X9.00

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.75

2 (-3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 56.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +1’	3.60	9.00	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostocker HC (W) 1–0–1 Bergischer HC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	28-20	Rostocker HC (W)
25/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Rostocker HC (W)	30-25	Bergischer HC (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	3	3	0	0	110	76	6
2	VfL Waiblingen (W)	3	3	0	0	102	75	6
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	3	3	0	0	98	81	6
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	3	2	1	0	105	80	5
5	Bergischer HC (W)	3	2	1	0	91	84	5
6	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	3	2	0	1	91	69	4
7	HC Rodertal (W)	3	2	0	1	101	81	4
8	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	3	2	0	1	87	88	4
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	3	1	0	2	83	91	2
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	3	1	0	2	82	90	2
11	SV Todesfelde (W)	3	0	1	2	92	101	1
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	3	0	1	2	79	104	1
13	SV Werder Bremen (W)	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
13	TUS Lintfort (W)	3	0	0	3	70	93	0
15	Rostocker HC (W)	2	0	0	2	44	71	0
16	HSG Freiburg (W)	2	0	0	2	50	78	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rostocker HC (W)	Bergischer HC (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)	20-40 L	29-29 D
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	24-31 L	22-31 L
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	18-27 L	27-24 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	25-29 L	29-34 L
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	23-34 L	19-32 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rostocker HC (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rostocker HC (W)

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	20-40	L
05/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
30/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-27	L
23/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
16/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L
09/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-27	L
02/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-32	L
25/04	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-26	W
18/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-36	L
04/04	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-32	L

Bergischer HC (W)

LLLLLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-31	W
05/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
29/08	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-31	L
23/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-37	L
17/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-34	L
09/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-30	L
02/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-33	L
25/04	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-34	L
17/04	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	19-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rostocker HC (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)?

Our model gives 61% to Bergischer HC (W).

How many points are expected in Rostocker HC (W) vs Bergischer HC (W)?

The model estimates 56 total points (Rostocker HC (W) 27.8 · Bergischer HC (W) 28.2).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to under 59.5 points (70%).