Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: TUS Lintfort (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)

Team pages: TUS Lintfort (W) · SV Werder Bremen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

TUS Lintfort (W)28

SV Werder Bremen (W)31.9

1X2

26% 74%

TUS Lintfort (W) SV Werder Bremen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

TUS Lintfort (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

SV Werder Bremen (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLLL

Head-to-head

TUS Lintfort (W) 2–4 SV Werder Bremen (W) (6 last)

TUS Lintfort (W)32-37SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)34-26TUS Lintfort (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)29-38TUS Lintfort (W)
TUS Lintfort (W)32-29SV Werder Bremen (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)21-20TUS Lintfort (W)
TUS Lintfort (W)26-28SV Werder Bremen (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TUS Lintfort (W) 1381 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 1518

	TUS Lintfort (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
Our model	40%	60%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60TUS Lintfort (W) 28 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 31.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Werder Bremen (W) (rating 1381 vs 1518).
SV Werder Bremen (W) is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours SV Werder Bremen (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TUS Lintfort (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	23.9 / 32.2	31.3 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	23.8 / 31.4	29.8 / 34
Est. result	28	32

Est. total60

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 59.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 6.00▼	Bet365 6.00
X	13.00 → 12.00▼	Bet365 12.00
2	1.11 → 1.16▲	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:40 +15’	7.50	13.00	1.11
13:59 +5’	6.00▼	12.00▼	1.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TUS Lintfort (W) 2–0–4 SV Werder Bremen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	32-37	SV Werder Bremen (W)
08/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	34-26	TUS Lintfort (W)
25/01/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	SV Werder Bremen (W)	29-38	TUS Lintfort (W)
08/09/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	32-29	SV Werder Bremen (W)
10/08/24 Matches Women 2x25mins	SV Werder Bremen (W)	21-20	TUS Lintfort (W)
05/05/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	TUS Lintfort (W)	26-28	SV Werder Bremen (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	4	4	0	0	147	104	8
2	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	4	4	0	0	137	115	8
3	Fuchse Berlin (W)	4	3	1	0	130	102	7
4	Bergischer HC (W)	4	3	1	0	125	109	7
5	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	4	3	0	1	122	97	6
6	VfL Waiblingen (W)	4	3	0	1	124	100	6
7	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	4	3	0	1	122	106	6
8	HC Rodertal (W)	4	2	0	2	129	112	4
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	3	1	0	2	88	107	2
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	4	1	0	3	111	128	2
11	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	4	1	0	3	100	125	2
12	SV Todesfelde (W)	4	0	1	3	126	140	1
13	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	4	0	1	3	108	142	1
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	3	0	0	3	81	104	0
14	TUS Lintfort (W)	3	0	0	3	70	93	0
16	Rostocker HC (W)	3	0	0	3	69	105	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TUS Lintfort (W)	SV Werder Bremen (W)
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	15-31 L	27-36 L
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	24-27 L	32-34 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	24-31 L	33-32 W
VfL Waiblingen (W)	22-32 L	30-26 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Werder Bremen (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TUS Lintfort (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-35	L
05/09	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	15-31	L
29/08	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-27	L
30/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-37	L
24/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-27	L
16/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-39	L
09/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-31	L
03/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
26/04	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-32	L
18/04	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-32	L

SV Werder Bremen (W)

LWWWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-36	L
05/09	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-34	L
29/08	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-34	L
30/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-32	W
23/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-34	W
16/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-26	W
14/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-29	W
09/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-29	W
02/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-23	W
25/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TUS Lintfort (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)?

Our model gives 74% to SV Werder Bremen (W).

How many points are expected in TUS Lintfort (W) vs SV Werder Bremen (W)?

The model estimates 60 total points (TUS Lintfort (W) 28 · SV Werder Bremen (W) 31.9).