Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 31/10, 17:30

Prediction: Bergischer HC (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)

Team pages: Bergischer HC (W) · HC Rodertal (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.6Total

Bergischer HC (W)26.9

HC Rodertal (W)30.7

1X2

31% 69%

Bergischer HC (W) HC Rodertal (W)

Markets

Over 55.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Bergischer HC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDWWWL

HC Rodertal (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Bergischer HC (W) 1–3 HC Rodertal (W) (4 last)

Bergischer HC (W)27-30HC Rodertal (W)
HC Rodertal (W)27-20Bergischer HC (W)
HC Rodertal (W)33-25Bergischer HC (W)
Bergischer HC (W)32-29HC Rodertal (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bergischer HC (W) 1468 · HC Rodertal (W) 1563

	Bergischer HC (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
Our model	46%	54%
Market	19%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 57.6 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.6Bergischer HC (W) 26.9 · HC Rodertal (W) 30.7

Over / Under 55.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~58.2 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Rodertal (W) (rating 1468 vs 1563).
HC Rodertal (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours HC Rodertal (W): 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bergischer HC (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 29.9	33.2 / 25.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 28.6	30.4 / 26.8
Est. result	27	31

Est. total57.6

Line O/U55.5

Diff.2.1

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.75

X9.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.95

2 (-3.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 58.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:58 +20’	4.75	9.50	1.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bergischer HC (W) 1–0–3 HC Rodertal (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	27-30	HC Rodertal (W)
03/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	27-20	Bergischer HC (W)
26/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HC Rodertal (W)	33-25	Bergischer HC (W)
14/12/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bergischer HC (W)	32-29	HC Rodertal (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	6	6	0	0	195	165	12
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	6	5	1	0	221	167	11
3	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	6	4	2	0	206	175	10
5	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	6	5	0	1	189	165	10
6	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	5	4	0	1	158	122	8
8	HC Rodertal (W)	6	4	0	2	192	156	8
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	5	2	0	3	127	151	4
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	6	2	0	4	169	183	4
11	HSG Freiburg (W)	6	2	0	4	185	201	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	6	1	0	5	167	201	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	6	0	1	5	177	208	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	6	0	1	5	171	214	1
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	6	0	0	6	153	186	0
16	Rostocker HC (W)	6	0	0	6	146	212	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bergischer HC (W)	HC Rodertal (W)
SV Werder Bremen (W)	31-30 W	32-21 W
TUS Lintfort (W)	35-31 W	31-23 W
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	27-24 W	28-31 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HC Rodertal (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bergischer HC (W)

LLLLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-28	L
10/10	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-30	W
19/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-25	W
12/09	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-31	W
05/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
29/08	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-31	L
23/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-37	L
17/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-34	L
09/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-30	L

HC Rodertal (W)

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-21	W
10/10	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-23	W
19/09	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-31	L
12/09	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-26	W
05/09	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-33	L
29/08	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-22	W
30/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-25	W
23/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-26	W
16/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-25	W
09/05	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bergischer HC (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)?

Our model gives 69% to HC Rodertal (W).

How many points are expected in Bergischer HC (W) vs HC Rodertal (W)?

The model estimates 57.6 total points (Bergischer HC (W) 26.9 · HC Rodertal (W) 30.7).

Over or under 55.5 points?

Recent history points to over 55.5 points (70%).