Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 12/09, 19:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin (W) vs Rostocker HC (W)

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin (W) · Rostocker HC (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.4Total

Fuchse Berlin (W)32.8

Rostocker HC (W)24.7

1X2

88% 12%

Fuchse Berlin (W) Rostocker HC (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWD

Rostocker HC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin (W) 2–0 Rostocker HC (W) (2 last)

Rostocker HC (W)20-35Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)37-19Rostocker HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin (W) 1569 · Rostocker HC (W) 1414

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	Rostocker HC (W)
Our model	79%	21%
Market	90%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 57.4 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.4Fuchse Berlin (W) 32.8 · Rostocker HC (W) 24.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuchse Berlin (W) (rating 1569 vs 1414).
Fuchse Berlin (W) is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin (W)	Rostocker HC (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.6 / 26.1	26.2 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 27.2	23 / 29.6
Est. result	33	25

Est. total57.4

Line O/U55.5

Diff.1.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X20.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.80

Under 55.51.90

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 57.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.03▲	Bet365 1.03
X	20.00 → 16.00▼	Bet365 16.00
2	17.00 → 12.00▼	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:50 +15’	1.00	20.00	17.00
13:04	1.03▲	16.00▼	12.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin (W) 2–0–0 Rostocker HC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Rostocker HC (W)	20-35	Fuchse Berlin (W)
11/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	37-19	Rostocker HC (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
1	VfL Waiblingen (W)	2	2	0	0	71	54	4
3	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	2	2	0	0	67	51	4
4	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	2	2	0	0	61	56	4
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	2	1	1	0	65	60	3
6	Bergischer HC (W)	2	1	1	0	56	53	3
7	HC Rodertal (W)	2	1	0	1	69	55	2
8	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	2	1	0	1	55	42	2
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	2	1	0	1	62	60	2
10	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	2	1	0	1	52	59	2
11	Rostocker HC (W)	1	0	0	1	24	31	0
12	SV Todesfelde (W)	2	0	0	2	57	66	0
13	HSG Freiburg (W)	1	0	0	1	28	39	0
14	SV Werder Bremen (W)	2	0	0	2	54	68	0
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	2	0	0	2	39	58	0
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	2	0	0	2	44	69	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin (W)	Rostocker HC (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	36-31 W	24-31 L
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	36-27 W	28-26 W
ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	39-32 W	18-27 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	32-29 W	25-29 L
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	35-22 W	23-34 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin (W)

WWWWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
30/08	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-31	W
30/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
23/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-17	W
16/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
09/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-21	W
02/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-21	W
25/04	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-32	W
18/04	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-29	W
04/04	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-22	W

Rostocker HC (W)

WLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
30/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-27	L
23/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
16/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L
09/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-27	L
02/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-32	L
25/04	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-26	W
18/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-36	L
04/04	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-32	L
28/03	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs Rostocker HC (W)?

Our model gives 88% to Fuchse Berlin (W).

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin (W) vs Rostocker HC (W)?

The model estimates 57.4 total points (Fuchse Berlin (W) 32.8 · Rostocker HC (W) 24.7).