Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 31/10, 17:30

Prediction: Rostocker HC (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Team pages: Rostocker HC (W) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.1Total

Rostocker HC (W)28.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Rostocker HC (W) Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Rostocker HC (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rostocker HC (W) 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) (2 last)

Rostocker HC (W)25-29Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)29-30Rostocker HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rostocker HC (W) 1399 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 1451

	Rostocker HC (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Our model	53%	47%
Market	33%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 59.1 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.1Rostocker HC (W) 28.8 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 30.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rostocker HC (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	23.7 / 32.9	29.2 / 32.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.4 / 36.2	29.8 / 34.8
Est. result	29	30

Est. total59.1

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 59.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:58 +20’	2.70	8.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostocker HC (W) 1–0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Rostocker HC (W)	25-29	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
18/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	29-30	Rostocker HC (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	6	6	0	0	195	165	12
2	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	6	5	1	0	221	167	11
3	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
4	Fuchse Berlin (W)	6	4	2	0	206	175	10
5	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	6	5	0	1	189	165	10
6	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	5	4	0	1	158	122	8
8	HC Rodertal (W)	6	4	0	2	192	156	8
9	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	5	2	0	3	127	151	4
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	6	2	0	4	169	183	4
11	HSG Freiburg (W)	6	2	0	4	185	201	4
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	6	1	0	5	167	201	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	6	0	1	5	177	208	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	6	0	1	5	171	214	1
15	TUS Lintfort (W)	6	0	0	6	153	186	0
16	Rostocker HC (W)	6	0	0	6	146	212	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rostocker HC (W)	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)	30-40 L	29-38 L
Fuchse Berlin (W)	20-40 L	37-40 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	24-31 L	26-32 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rostocker HC (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-40	L
17/10	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-38	L
10/10	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	20-29	L
19/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-34	L
12/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	20-40	L
05/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
30/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-27	L
23/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
16/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L
09/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-27	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

WWWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	37-40	L
11/10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-32	L
19/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-38	L
12/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-35	D
06/09	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-29	L
29/08	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-40	L
30/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-33	L
23/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-25	W
17/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-29	W
09/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rostocker HC (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Rostocker HC (W) 43% · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 57%).

How many points are expected in Rostocker HC (W) vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)?

The model estimates 59.1 total points (Rostocker HC (W) 28.8 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 30.3).