Handball · France Starligue · 25/09, 20:00

Prediction: Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Cesson Rennes

Team pages: Chartres Metropole HB 28 · Cesson Rennes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

Chartres Metropole HB 2830.3

Cesson Rennes32.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Chartres Metropole HB 28 Cesson Rennes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Chartres Metropole HB 28 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLWL

Cesson Rennes 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Chartres Metropole HB 28 1–5 Cesson Rennes (6 last)

Cesson Rennes39-32Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2828-31Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes35-31Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2828-33Cesson Rennes
Chartres Metropole HB 2831-39Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes27-28Chartres Metropole HB 28

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1463 · Cesson Rennes 1476

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Cesson Rennes
Our model	58%	42%
Market	35%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63Chartres Metropole HB 28 30.3 · Cesson Rennes 32.6

Match keys

H2H favours Cesson Rennes: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Cesson Rennes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 35	29.6 / 31.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 34.8	27.8 / 31.6
Est. result	30	33

Est. total63

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.70

X8.00

21.78

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 62.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.88 → 1.78▼	Bet365 1.78

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:40 +9’	2.50	8.00	1.88
22:49 +3’	2.70▲	8.00	1.78▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1–0–5 Cesson Rennes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	39-32	Chartres Metropole HB 28
26/09/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	28-31	Cesson Rennes
04/06/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	35-31	Chartres Metropole HB 28
20/09/24 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	28-33	Cesson Rennes
22/03/24 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	31-39	Cesson Rennes
19/10/23 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	27-28	Chartres Metropole HB 28

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantes	3	3	0	112	87	6
2	PSG Handball	3	3	0	97	79	6
3	Limoges HB 87	3	2	1	102	84	4
4	Montpellier	3	2	1	110	91	4
5	USM Saran	3	2	1	88	85	4
6	USAM Nimes	3	2	1	99	101	4
7	Selestat Alsace HB	3	2	1	90	90	4
8	Caen Handball	3	2	1	81	93	4
9	Chartres Metropole HB 28	3	1	2	83	106	2
10	Tremblay	3	1	2	94	103	2
11	Cesson Rennes	3	1	2	85	92	2
12	Chambery Savoie	3	1	2	99	94	2
13	Pays d'Aix UC	3	1	2	90	99	2
14	Saint Raphael	3	1	2	87	97	2
15	Toulouse	3	0	3	80	84	0
16	Dunkerque	3	0	3	78	90	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chartres Metropole HB 28	Cesson Rennes
PSG Handball	26-35 L	24-30 L
Montpellier	22-41 L	34-36 L
USAM Nimes	33-31 W	32-34 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cesson Rennes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chartres Metropole HB 28

LLLLDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	26-35	L
11/09	Tremblay France Starligue	35-30	W
04/09	Montpellier France Starligue	22-41	L
06/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	30-37	L
02/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-31	W
26/05	Tremblay France Starligue	35-35	D
08/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-39	L
03/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	20-40	L
24/04	Dijon France Starligue	23-28	L
17/04	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-34	L

Cesson Rennes

WLWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-28	W
12/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	24-30	L
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L
08/05	Montpellier France Starligue	34-36	L
30/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-30	W
24/04	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-34	L
16/04	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Cesson Rennes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Chartres Metropole HB 28 47% · Cesson Rennes 53%).

How many points are expected in Chartres Metropole HB 28 vs Cesson Rennes?

The model estimates 63 total points (Chartres Metropole HB 28 30.3 · Cesson Rennes 32.6).