Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: SonderjyskE vs Skjern Handbold

Team pages: SonderjyskE · Skjern Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.5Total

SonderjyskE31.4

Skjern Handbold32

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

SonderjyskE Skjern Handbold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

SonderjyskE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLWWW

Skjern Handbold 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

SonderjyskE 2–4 Skjern Handbold (6 last)

Skjern Handbold28-26SonderjyskE
SonderjyskE27-32Skjern Handbold
Skjern Handbold34-29SonderjyskE
SonderjyskE25-30Skjern Handbold
Skjern Handbold23-28SonderjyskE
SonderjyskE29-25Skjern Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SonderjyskE 1532 · Skjern Handbold 1558

	SonderjyskE	Skjern Handbold
Our model	56%	44%
Market	32%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 63.5 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.5SonderjyskE 31.4 · Skjern Handbold 32

Match keys

H2H favours Skjern Handbold: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SonderjyskE	Skjern Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.8 / 31.2	34.1 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 30.4	34 / 29.8
Est. result	31	32

Est. total63.5

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.90

X8.50

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 64.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
10:45 +31’	2.90	8.50	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SonderjyskE 2–0–4 Skjern Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	28-26	SonderjyskE
06/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	27-32	Skjern Handbold
05/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	34-29	SonderjyskE
13/11/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	25-30	Skjern Handbold
03/03/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	23-28	SonderjyskE
20/10/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	SonderjyskE	29-25	Skjern Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	9	8	1	0	313	262	17
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	9	7	1	1	303	279	15
3	Aalborg Handbold	9	6	1	2	286	280	13
4	Skjern Handbold	9	6	0	3	304	279	12
5	Fredericia HK	9	5	0	4	270	247	10
6	SonderjyskE	9	5	0	4	284	278	10
7	Skanderborg Handbold	9	5	0	4	302	298	10
8	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	9	4	1	4	283	287	9
9	Team Tvis Holstebro	9	3	1	5	278	284	7
10	Nordsjaelland Handbold	9	3	1	5	265	277	7
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	9	3	0	6	267	290	6
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	9	2	1	6	282	310	5
13	TMS Ringsted	9	1	1	7	276	311	3
14	Skive FH	9	1	0	8	299	330	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SonderjyskE	Skjern Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold	34-24 W	35-32 W
TMS Ringsted	36-31 W	40-30 W
Fredericia HK	31-30 W	37-31 W
KIF Kolding Kbh.	31-32 L	42-35 W
GOG	29-35 L	29-35 L
Team Tvis Holstebro	31-28 W	29-27 W
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	28-33 L	34-31 W
Aalborg Handbold	28-32 L	30-33 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skjern Handbold (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SonderjyskE

DLWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-24	W
02/10	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	36-31	W
28/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	31-30	W
16/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	31-32	L
13/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
08/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-28	W
03/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	28-33	L
30/08	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	36-33	W
26/08	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
25/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	34-34	D

Skjern Handbold

WLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
03/10	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	42-35	W
27/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
20/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	38-25	W
12/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	29-27	W
05/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-33	L
02/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-32	W
29/08	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	40-30	W
25/08	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
10/05	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	37-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SonderjyskE vs Skjern Handbold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (SonderjyskE 44% · Skjern Handbold 56%).

How many points are expected in SonderjyskE vs Skjern Handbold?

The model estimates 63.5 total points (SonderjyskE 31.4 · Skjern Handbold 32).