Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 22/10, 20:00

Prediction: KIF Kolding Kbh. vs Fredericia HK

Team pages: KIF Kolding Kbh. · Fredericia HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62Total

KIF Kolding Kbh.29.2

Fredericia HK32.8

1X2

34% 66%

KIF Kolding Kbh. Fredericia HK

Recent form · 10 last

KIF Kolding Kbh. 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWLLLL

Fredericia HK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

KIF Kolding Kbh. 1–5 Fredericia HK (6 last)

KIF Kolding Kbh.21-29Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK26-20KIF Kolding Kbh.
KIF Kolding Kbh.26-27Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK32-31KIF Kolding Kbh.
KIF Kolding Kbh.35-31Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK28-25KIF Kolding Kbh.

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KIF Kolding Kbh. 1435 · Fredericia HK 1541

	KIF Kolding Kbh.	Fredericia HK
Our model	45%	55%
Market	25%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 62 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62KIF Kolding Kbh. 29.2 · Fredericia HK 32.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fredericia HK (rating 1435 vs 1541).
Fredericia HK is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Fredericia HK: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KIF Kolding Kbh.	Fredericia HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 34.9	30.6 / 27.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 37.2	31.6 / 28.2
Est. result	29	33

Est. total62

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.80

X9.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.90

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 62.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:10 +5’	3.80	9.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KIF Kolding Kbh. 1–0–5 Fredericia HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	21-29	Fredericia HK
29/09/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	26-20	KIF Kolding Kbh.
21/02/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	26-27	Fredericia HK
11/10/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	32-31	KIF Kolding Kbh.
29/03/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	KIF Kolding Kbh.	35-31	Fredericia HK
12/11/22 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	28-25	KIF Kolding Kbh.

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	10	9	1	0	352	292	19
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	10	7	1	2	332	311	15
3	Aalborg Handbold	10	7	1	2	323	306	15
4	SonderjyskE	10	6	0	4	314	303	12
5	Skjern Handbold	10	6	0	4	329	309	12
6	Fredericia HK	10	6	0	4	306	276	12
7	Skanderborg Handbold	10	6	0	4	334	327	12
8	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	10	5	1	4	314	317	11
9	Nordsjaelland Handbold	10	4	1	5	301	305	9
10	Team Tvis Holstebro	10	3	1	6	306	320	7
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	10	3	0	7	293	327	6
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	10	2	1	7	312	349	5
13	TMS Ringsted	10	1	1	8	306	342	3
14	Skive FH	10	1	0	9	328	366	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KIF Kolding Kbh.	Fredericia HK
GOG	30-39 L	28-32 L
Aalborg Handbold	32-37 L	33-26 W
Team Tvis Holstebro	31-37 L	33-20 W
SonderjyskE	32-31 W	30-31 L
Skanderborg Handbold	26-32 L	31-29 W
Nordsjaelland Handbold	32-32 D	31-24 W
Ribe Esbjerg HH	28-31 L	27-31 L
Skive FH	35-34 W	36-29 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fredericia HK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KIF Kolding Kbh.

WLLDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	30-39	L
10/10	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-37	L
03/10	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-42	L
25/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-37	L
16/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
13/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-32	L
06/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D
02/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	28-31	L
30/08	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-34	L
26/08	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-34	W

Fredericia HK

WLWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	36-29	W
11/10	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-29	W
03/10	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	33-20	W
28/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	30-31	L
19/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
11/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
07/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	26-28	L
02/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-26	W
30/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
26/08	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KIF Kolding Kbh. vs Fredericia HK?

Our model gives 66% to Fredericia HK.

How many points are expected in KIF Kolding Kbh. vs Fredericia HK?

The model estimates 62 total points (KIF Kolding Kbh. 29.2 · Fredericia HK 32.8).