Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: Skive FH vs Aalborg Handbold

Team pages: Aalborg Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.3Total

Skive FH31.4

Aalborg Handbold34.9

1X2

20% 80%

Skive FH Aalborg Handbold

Recent form · 10 last

Skive FH 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Aalborg Handbold 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Skive FH 1–3 Aalborg Handbold (4 last)

Skive FH24-34Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold36-27Skive FH
Skive FH28-32Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold25-27Skive FH

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skive FH 1409 · Aalborg Handbold 1595

	Skive FH	Aalborg Handbold
Our model	34%	66%
Market	9%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 66.3 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.3Skive FH 31.4 · Aalborg Handbold 34.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalborg Handbold (rating 1409 vs 1595).
Aalborg Handbold is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Aalborg Handbold: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Skive FH	Aalborg Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.8 / 36.6	32.3 / 30.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 36.8	34.2 / 31.2
Est. result	31	35

Est. total66.3

Line O/U66.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

110.00

X16.00

21.11

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.88

2 (-6.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.88

Under 66.51.88

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 66.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:00 +15’	10.00	16.00	1.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive FH 1–0–3 Aalborg Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/12/21 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skive FH	24-34	Aalborg Handbold
23/10/21 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	36-27	Skive FH
02/03/16 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skive FH	28-32	Aalborg Handbold
18/11/15 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	25-27	Skive FH

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	10	9	1	0	352	292	19
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	10	7	1	2	332	311	15
3	Aalborg Handbold	10	7	1	2	323	306	15
4	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	11	6	1	4	349	349	13
5	SonderjyskE	10	6	0	4	314	303	12
6	Skjern Handbold	10	6	0	4	329	309	12
7	Fredericia HK	10	6	0	4	306	276	12
8	Skanderborg Handbold	10	6	0	4	334	327	12
9	Nordsjaelland Handbold	10	4	1	5	301	305	9
10	Team Tvis Holstebro	10	3	1	6	306	320	7
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	11	3	0	8	325	362	6
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	10	2	1	7	312	349	5
13	TMS Ringsted	10	1	1	8	306	342	3
14	Skive FH	10	1	0	9	328	366	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skive FH	Aalborg Handbold
Fredericia HK	29-36 L	26-33 L
GOG	29-41 L	27-39 L
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	31-32 L	30-30 D
Team Tvis Holstebro	29-38 L	31-29 W
Mors-Thy Handbold	30-34 L	37-26 W
TMS Ringsted	40-35 W	36-30 W
SonderjyskE	33-36 L	32-28 W
KIF Kolding Kbh.	34-35 L	37-32 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aalborg Handbold (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skive FH

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	29-36	L
11/10	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-41	L
02/10	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-37	L
25/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	31-32	L
15/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	29-38	L
11/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-34	L
05/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	38-42	L
02/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	40-35	W
30/08	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	33-36	L
26/08	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	34-35	L

Aalborg Handbold

WWLWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	37-26	W
10/10	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	37-32	W
03/10	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-39	L
26/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	36-30	W
20/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-29	W
12/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
05/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-30	W
02/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-33	L
30/08	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-29	W
26/08	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skive FH vs Aalborg Handbold?

Our model gives 80% to Aalborg Handbold.

How many points are expected in Skive FH vs Aalborg Handbold?

The model estimates 66.3 total points (Skive FH 31.4 · Aalborg Handbold 34.9).