Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: TMS Ringsted vs GOG

Team pages: TMS Ringsted · GOG

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.1Total

TMS Ringsted29.7

GOG35.4

1X2

23% 77%

TMS Ringsted GOG

Recent form · 10 last

TMS Ringsted 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLWL

GOG 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

TMS Ringsted 1–5 GOG (6 last)

TMS Ringsted25-37GOG
GOG36-23TMS Ringsted
GOG31-27TMS Ringsted
TMS Ringsted38-33GOG
TMS Ringsted31-39GOG
GOG34-31TMS Ringsted

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TMS Ringsted 1398 · GOG 1624

	TMS Ringsted	GOG
Our model	29%	71%
Market	17%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 65.1 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.1TMS Ringsted 29.7 · GOG 35.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GOG (rating 1398 vs 1624).
GOG is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours GOG: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TMS Ringsted	GOG
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 34.2	35.2 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 32.2	37.4 / 29
Est. result	30	35

Est. total65.1

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X12.00

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.88

2 (-4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.88

Under 65.51.88

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 64.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:11 +5’	5.50	12.00	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TMS Ringsted 1–0–5 GOG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	25-37	GOG
05/11/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	36-23	TMS Ringsted
06/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	31-27	TMS Ringsted
17/11/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	38-33	GOG
20/04/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	31-39	GOG
09/04/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	34-31	TMS Ringsted

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	10	9	1	0	352	292	19
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	10	7	1	2	332	311	15
3	Aalborg Handbold	10	7	1	2	323	306	15
4	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	11	6	1	4	349	349	13
5	SonderjyskE	10	6	0	4	314	303	12
6	Skjern Handbold	10	6	0	4	329	309	12
7	Fredericia HK	10	6	0	4	306	276	12
8	Skanderborg Handbold	10	6	0	4	334	327	12
9	Nordsjaelland Handbold	10	4	1	5	301	305	9
10	Team Tvis Holstebro	10	3	1	6	306	320	7
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	11	3	0	8	325	362	6
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	10	2	1	7	312	349	5
13	TMS Ringsted	10	1	1	8	306	342	3
14	Skive FH	10	1	0	9	328	366	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TMS Ringsted	GOG
SonderjyskE	31-36 L	35-29 W
Aalborg Handbold	30-36 L	39-27 W
Mors-Thy Handbold	28-32 L	32-29 W
Fredericia HK	26-31 L	32-28 W
Ribe Esbjerg HH	30-30 D	36-31 W
Skive FH	35-40 L	41-29 W
Skjern Handbold	30-40 L	35-29 W
Skanderborg Handbold	34-40 L	34-31 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: GOG (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TMS Ringsted

LLLDLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	30-31	L
10/10	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-26	W
02/10	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	31-36	L
26/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-36	L
19/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
11/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-31	L
05/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
02/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-40	L
29/08	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-40	L
26/08	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-40	L

GOG

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	39-30	W
11/10	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	41-29	W
03/10	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	39-27	W
28/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	36-31	W
19/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
13/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W
06/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-29	W
03/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	29-29	D
29/08	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
25/08	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TMS Ringsted vs GOG?

Our model gives 77% to GOG.

How many points are expected in TMS Ringsted vs GOG?

The model estimates 65.1 total points (TMS Ringsted 29.7 · GOG 35.4).