Handball · Austria HLA · 19/09, 18:30

Prediction: BT Fuchse vs UHK Krems

Team pages: BT Fuchse · UHK Krems

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.5Total

BT Fuchse31

UHK Krems31.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

59% 41%

BT Fuchse UHK Krems

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

BT Fuchse 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLLWL

UHK Krems 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

BT Fuchse 3–3 UHK Krems (6 last)

UHK Krems32-28BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse29-28UHK Krems
UHK Krems34-31BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse32-25UHK Krems
UHK Krems32-30BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse36-31UHK Krems

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BT Fuchse 1504 · UHK Krems 1523

	BT Fuchse	UHK Krems
Our model	57%	43%
Market	53%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 62.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.5BT Fuchse 31 · UHK Krems 31.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BT Fuchse	UHK Krems
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 30.5	31 / 30.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 32.8	31.2 / 29.8
Est. result	31	32

Est. total62.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 61.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:41 +12’	1.70	8.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BT Fuchse 3–0–3 UHK Krems

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	32-28	BT Fuchse
13/09/25 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	29-28	UHK Krems
12/04/25 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	34-31	BT Fuchse
27/11/24 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	32-25	UHK Krems
14/02/24 Austria Cup	UHK Krems	32-30	BT Fuchse
07/02/24 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	36-31	UHK Krems

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	76	59	4
2	SC Ferlach	2	2	0	62	54	4
3	HSG Graz	2	2	0	65	61	4
4	Handball Tirol	2	2	0	62	59	4
5	Voslauer HC	2	1	1	65	59	2
6	Bregenz Handball	2	1	1	62	57	2
7	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	2	1	1	59	55	2
8	BT Fuchse	2	1	1	63	68	2
9	Alpla HC Hard	2	0	2	59	63	0
10	UHK Krems	2	0	2	61	66	0
11	HC Linz AG	2	0	2	51	64	0
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	2	0	2	52	72	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BT Fuchse	UHK Krems
Voslauer HC	28-35 L	29-33 L
Fivers WAT Margareten	30-39 L	26-31 L
HC Linz AG	28-27 W	31-29 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: UHK Krems (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BT Fuchse

WDWLWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	28-35	L
05/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	35-33	W
27/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	30-39	L
22/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	29-30	L
06/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	28-27	W
02/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	30-28	W
18/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-33	L
15/04	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	33-27	W
11/04	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	26-26	D
28/03	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-27	W

UHK Krems

LWWLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HSG Graz Austria HLA	32-35	L
09/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	27-31	L
06/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	35-23	W
02/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	31-31	D
18/04	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-29	W
15/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	26-31	L
11/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	29-33	L
27/03	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	35-28	W
14/03	HSG Graz Austria HLA	29-28	W
07/03	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	35-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BT Fuchse vs UHK Krems?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BT Fuchse 59% · UHK Krems 41%).

How many points are expected in BT Fuchse vs UHK Krems?

The model estimates 62.5 total points (BT Fuchse 31 · UHK Krems 31.5).