Handball · Austria HLA · 25/09, 19:30

Prediction: HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs BT Fuchse

Team pages: HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat · BT Fuchse

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.8Total

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat29.1

BT Fuchse28.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat BT Fuchse

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLLWLL

BT Fuchse 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 1–2–3 BT Fuchse (6 last)

BT Fuchse26-26HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat27-24BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse28-28HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat27-33BT Fuchse
BT Fuchse37-32HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat26-33BT Fuchse

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 1466 · BT Fuchse 1493

	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	BT Fuchse
Our model	56%	44%
Market	50%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 57.8 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.8HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 29.1 · BT Fuchse 28.7

Match keys

H2H favours BT Fuchse: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	BT Fuchse
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.2 / 28.3	29.5 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 28.4	29.4 / 32.8
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57.8

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 57.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:32 +21’	1.85	8.00	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 1–2–3 BT Fuchse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	26-26	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
15/11/25 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	27-24	BT Fuchse
05/04/25 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	28-28	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
16/11/24 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	27-33	BT Fuchse
17/12/23 Austria HLA	BT Fuchse	37-32	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
08/09/23 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	26-33	BT Fuchse

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	3	3	0	0	91	85	6
2	SC Ferlach	3	2	1	0	95	87	5
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	0	76	59	4
4	HSG Graz	2	2	0	0	65	61	4
5	BT Fuchse	4	2	0	2	115	121	4
6	Bregenz Handball	3	1	1	1	95	90	3
7	Alpla HC Hard	3	1	0	2	93	90	2
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	4	1	0	3	111	111	2
9	UHK Krems	3	1	0	2	88	91	2
10	HC Linz AG	3	1	0	2	86	93	2
11	Voslauer HC	3	1	0	2	92	93	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	3	0	0	3	81	107	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	BT Fuchse
Voslauer HC	26-28 L	28-35 L
Alpla HC Hard	30-28 W	35-33 W
UHC Hollabrunn	35-36 L	33-27 W
HC Linz AG	19-25 L	28-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BT Fuchse (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

LLDWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	26-29	L
11/09	HSG Graz Austria HLA	29-30	L
04/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	30-25	W
06/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-28	L
02/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	25-30	L
18/04	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	26-26	D
15/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	30-28	W
11/04	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	26-26	D
28/03	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-36	L
14/03	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	19-25	L

BT Fuchse

DWLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	25-27	L
12/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	28-35	L
05/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	35-33	W
27/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	30-39	L
22/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	29-30	L
06/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	28-27	W
02/05	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	30-28	W
18/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-33	L
15/04	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	33-27	W
11/04	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	26-26	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs BT Fuchse?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 56% · BT Fuchse 44%).

How many points are expected in HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat vs BT Fuchse?

The model estimates 57.8 total points (HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 29.1 · BT Fuchse 28.7).