Handball · Austria HLA · 26/09, 19:30

Prediction: Fivers WAT Margareten vs Handball Tirol

Team pages: Fivers WAT Margareten · Handball Tirol

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

Fivers WAT Margareten32.3

Handball Tirol30.1

1X2

66% 34%

Fivers WAT Margareten Handball Tirol

Recent form · 10 last

Fivers WAT Margareten 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLWW

Handball Tirol 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Fivers WAT Margareten 2–1–3 Handball Tirol (6 last)

Handball Tirol28-32Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten36-39Handball Tirol
Fivers WAT Margareten33-33Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol31-29Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten34-26Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol35-32Fivers WAT Margareten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fivers WAT Margareten 1565 · Handball Tirol 1511

	Fivers WAT Margareten	Handball Tirol
Our model	67%	33%
Market	59%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3Fivers WAT Margareten 32.3 · Handball Tirol 30.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fivers WAT Margareten (rating 1565 vs 1511).
Fivers WAT Margareten is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Handball Tirol: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fivers WAT Margareten	Handball Tirol
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.8 / 30.8	29.8 / 28.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.8 / 31.2	30.2 / 28.6
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.52

X8.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)2.00

2 (+2.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 61.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.52▼	Bet365 1.52
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:36 +19’	1.70	8.50	2.50
11:52 +40’	1.52▼	8.50	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fivers WAT Margareten 2–1–3 Handball Tirol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	28-32	Fivers WAT Margareten
29/11/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	36-39	Handball Tirol
03/05/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	33-33	Handball Tirol
30/04/25 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	31-29	Fivers WAT Margareten
26/04/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	34-26	Handball Tirol
06/12/24 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	35-32	Fivers WAT Margareten

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	3	3	0	0	91	85	6
2	SC Ferlach	3	2	1	0	95	87	5
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	0	76	59	4
4	HSG Graz	2	2	0	0	65	61	4
5	BT Fuchse	4	2	0	2	115	121	4
6	Bregenz Handball	3	1	1	1	95	90	3
7	Alpla HC Hard	3	1	0	2	93	90	2
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	4	1	0	3	111	111	2
9	UHK Krems	3	1	0	2	88	91	2
10	HC Linz AG	3	1	0	2	86	93	2
11	Voslauer HC	3	1	0	2	92	93	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	3	0	0	3	81	107	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fivers WAT Margareten	Handball Tirol
Bregenz Handball	34-32 W	33-34 L
Voslauer HC	31-32 L	31-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fivers WAT Margareten

WWLWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	42-27	W
05/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	34-32	W
06/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-32	L
03/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	33-35	L
27/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	39-30	W
22/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	30-29	W
09/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	33-31	W
05/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	31-32	L
01/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	33-32	W
18/04	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	32-28	W

Handball Tirol

LLWLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	29-26	W
04/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-30	W
03/06	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	34-28	W
29/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	24-25	L
23/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-34	L
09/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	36-28	W
05/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	23-27	L
01/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	39-36	W
18/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-32	L
15/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	21-22	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fivers WAT Margareten vs Handball Tirol?

Our model gives 66% to Fivers WAT Margareten.

How many points are expected in Fivers WAT Margareten vs Handball Tirol?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (Fivers WAT Margareten 32.3 · Handball Tirol 30.1).