Handball · Austria HLA · 18/09, 18:30

Prediction: Handball Tirol vs HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Team pages: Handball Tirol · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

Handball Tirol30

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat28

1X2

69% 31%

Handball Tirol HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Recent form · 10 last

Handball Tirol 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLWLLWW

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDLLWL

Head-to-head

Handball Tirol 6–0 HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat (6 last)

Handball Tirol28-26HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat24-25Handball Tirol
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat22-34Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol36-28HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat29-32Handball Tirol
Handball Tirol32-23HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Handball Tirol 1502 · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 1455

	Handball Tirol	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
Our model	66%	34%
Market	63%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58Handball Tirol 30 · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 28

Match keys

Handball Tirol is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Handball Tirol: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Handball Tirol	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 29.3	27.4 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 29	27.2 / 27.8
Est. result	30	28

Est. total58

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 57.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.42▲	Bet365 1.42
X	9.00 → 8.50▼	Bet365 8.50
2	4.25 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +26’	1.30	9.00	4.25
02:42 +10’	1.42▲	8.50▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Handball Tirol 6–0–0 HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	28-26	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
13/09/25 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	24-25	Handball Tirol
08/02/25 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	22-34	Handball Tirol
21/09/24 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	36-28	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
02/03/24 Austria HLA	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	29-32	Handball Tirol
21/10/23 Austria HLA	Handball Tirol	32-23	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

Standings · Austria HLA

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fivers WAT Margareten	2	2	0	76	59	4
2	SC Ferlach	2	2	0	62	54	4
3	HSG Graz	2	2	0	65	61	4
4	Handball Tirol	2	2	0	62	59	4
5	Voslauer HC	2	1	1	65	59	2
6	Bregenz Handball	2	1	1	62	57	2
7	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	2	1	1	59	55	2
8	BT Fuchse	2	1	1	63	68	2
9	Alpla HC Hard	2	0	2	59	63	0
10	UHK Krems	2	0	2	61	66	0
11	HC Linz AG	2	0	2	51	64	0
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	2	0	2	52	72	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Handball Tirol	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat
Voslauer HC	31-30 W	26-28 L
UHC Hollabrunn	34-28 W	35-36 L
HSG Graz	24-25 L	29-30 L
Fivers WAT Margareten	28-32 L	28-36 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Handball Tirol (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Handball Tirol

DLLWLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-30	W
03/06	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	34-28	W
29/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	24-25	L
23/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-34	L
09/05	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	36-28	W
05/05	HSG Graz Austria HLA	23-27	L
01/05	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	39-36	W
18/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-32	L
15/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	21-22	L
11/04	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	31-31	D

HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat

LLLDWDLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	HSG Graz Austria HLA	29-30	L
04/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	30-25	W
06/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	26-28	L
02/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	25-30	L
18/04	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	26-26	D
15/04	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	30-28	W
11/04	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	26-26	D
28/03	UHC Hollabrunn Austria HLA	35-36	L
14/03	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	19-25	L
07/03	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	28-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Handball Tirol vs HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat?

Our model gives 69% to Handball Tirol.

How many points are expected in Handball Tirol vs HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat?

The model estimates 58 total points (Handball Tirol 30 · HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat 28).